Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Miami Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi
Result
0:2
23/03/2024 at 17:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS
Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
59%58%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (24/35)75% (27/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (7/24)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
25% (9/36)31% (11/35)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)71% (17/24)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)50% (4/8)
Winners
1221
Unforced Errors
1412
Net Points Won
40% (4/10)76% (16/21)
Max Points In Row
54
Service Points Won
53% (31/59)65% (40/62)
Return Points Won
35% (22/62)47% (28/59)
Total Points Won
44% (53/121)56% (68/121)
Max Games In Row
25
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Alexander Bublik 54.1%Matteo Arnaldi 45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Alexander Bublik 50%Matteo Arnaldi 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Alexander Bublik 50.3%Matteo Arnaldi 49.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.91)

    2.08
    (1.91)
    4.7%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi?
    The most likely score is 2:0. User prediction is Alexander Bublik will win! (33 of 44 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    01.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev Bublik A. awarded
    29.02.2024 Alexander Bublik - Jiri Lehecka Bublik A. retired
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B.Fearnley J. (Q)1 : 2
    3Thompson J.Giron M.2 : 1
    4ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (28)
    5Fils A. (17)Bye
    6Diallo G. (LL)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    7Struff J-L.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    8ByeTiafoe F. (16)
    9Rune H. (11)Bye
    10Eubanks C. (WC)Opelka R. (PR)0 : 2
    11Arnaldi M.Wu Y. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeMachac T. (20)
    13Popyrin A. (25)Bye
    14Safiullin R.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 1
    15Bautista-Agut R.Mensik J.1 : 2
    16ByeDraper J. (6)
    17Fritz T. (3)Bye
    18Sonego L.Navone M.2 : 0
    19Tirante T. A. (Q)Cobolli F.2 : 1
    20ByeShapovalov D. (27)
    21Walton A. (LL)Bye
    22Martinez P.Darderi L.0 : 2
    23Wong C. (WC)Altmaier D.2 : 0
    24ByeShelton B. (13)
    25De Minaur A. (10)Bye
    26Bu Y.Norrie C.2 : 0
    27Fonseca J.Tien L.2 : 1
    28ByeHumbert U. (19)
    29Berrettini M. (29)Bye
    30Gaston H. (LL)Nishioka Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    31Bergs Z.Borges N.2 : 0
    32ByeRublev A. (8)
    33Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    34Rinderknech A.Munar J.0 : 2
    35Monfils G.Marozsan F.2 : 1
    36ByeLehecka J. (26)
    37Korda S. (24)Bye
    38Spizzirri E. (WC)Harris B. (Q)2 : 1
    39Tseng C. H. (Q)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    40ByeTsitsipas S. (9)
    41Musetti L. (15)Bye
    42Seyboth Wild T.Halys Q.0 : 2
    43Schoolkate T. (Q)Quinn E. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (18)
    45Michelsen A. (32)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)Holt B. (Q)2 : 1
    47Hijikata R.Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Ruud C. (5)Bye
    50Kovacevic A.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    51Blockx A. (Q)Moutet C.0 : 2
    52ByeTabilo A. (30)
    53Cerundolo F. (23)Bye
    54Muller A.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    55Bublik A.Baez S.2 : 0
    56ByePaul T. (12)
    57Dimitrov G. (14)Bye
    58Comesana F. (Q)Cina F. (WC)0 : 2
    59McDonald M. (Q)Kyrgios N. (PR)1 : 2
    60ByeKhachanov K. (22)
    61Nakashima B. (31)Bye
    62O'Connell C. (Q)Carballes Baena R.1 : 2
    63Vukic A.Goffin D.1 : 2
    64ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Fearnley J.2 : 0
    2Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)2 : 0
    3Fils A. (17)Diallo G. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Davidovich Fokina A.Tiafoe F. (16)0 : 2
    5Rune H. (11)Opelka R.1 : 2
    6Arnaldi M.Machac T. (20)1 : 2
    7Popyrin A. (25)Safiullin R.1 : 2
    8Mensik J.Draper J. (6)2 : 0
    9Fritz T. (3)Sonego L.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Shapovalov D. (27)1 : 2
    11Walton A. (LL)Darderi L.2 : 0
    12Wong C.Shelton B. (13)2 : 1
    13De Minaur A. (10)Bu Y.2 : 0
    14Fonseca J.Humbert U. (19)2 : 0
    15Berrettini M. (29)Gaston H.2 : 1
    16Bergs Z.Rublev A. (8)2 : 0
    17Medvedev D. (7)Munar J.0 : 2
    18Monfils G.Lehecka J. (26)2 : 1
    19Korda S. (24)Spizzirri E.2 : 0
    20Tseng C. H.Tsitsipas S. (9)1 : 2
    21Musetti L. (15)Halys Q.2 : 1
    22Schoolkate T.Auger-Aliassime F. (18)0 : 2
    23Michelsen A. (32)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    24Hijikata R.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Ruud C. (5)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    26Moutet C.Tabilo A. (30)1 : 2
    27Cerundolo F. (23)Muller A.2 : 0
    28Bublik A.Paul T. (12)1 : 2
    29Dimitrov G. (14)Cina F.2 : 0
    30Kyrgios N.Khachanov K. (22)0 : 2
    31Nakashima B. (31)Carballes Baena R.2 : 1
    32Goffin D.Alcaraz C. (2)2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Thompson J.2 : 0
    2Fils A. (17)Tiafoe F. (16)2 : 1
    3Opelka R.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    4Safiullin R.Mensik J.0 : 2
    5Fritz T. (3)Shapovalov D. (27)2 : 0
    6Walton A.Wong C.2 : 1
    7De Minaur A. (10)Fonseca J.2 : 1
    8Berrettini M. (29)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    9Munar J.Monfils G.1 : 2
    10Korda S. (24)Tsitsipas S. (9)2 : 0
    11Musetti L. (15)Auger-Aliassime F. (18)2 : 1
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    13Ruud C. (5)Tabilo A. (30)2 : 0
    14Cerundolo F. (23)Paul T. (12)2 : 0
    15Dimitrov G. (14)Khachanov K. (22)2 : 1
    16Nakashima B. (31)Goffin D.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Fils A. (17)1 : 2
    2Machac T. (20)Mensik J. (WO.)
    3Fritz T. (3)Walton A.2 : 0
    4De Minaur A. (10)Berrettini M. (29)0 : 2
    5Monfils G.Korda S. (24)1 : 2
    6Musetti L. (15)Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    7Ruud C. (5)Cerundolo F. (23)0 : 2
    8Dimitrov G. (14)Nakashima B. (31)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Fils A. (17)Mensik J.0 : 2
    2Fritz T. (3)Berrettini M. (29)2 : 1
    3Korda S. (24)Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    4Cerundolo F. (23)Dimitrov G. (14)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mensik J.Fritz T. (3)2 : 1
    2Djokovic N. (4)Dimitrov G. (14)2 : 0

    Final
    1Mensik J.Djokovic N. (4)2 : 0
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