Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi - Gamble Responsibly 18+

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Result
0:2

When is the event taking place?

It is scheduled for 23/03/2024 at 17:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Do you have any additional information?

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

What is the Match Stats?


Aces
5	6
Double Faults
5	2
1st Serve Percentage
59%	58%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (24/35)	75% (27/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
29% (7/24)	50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)	80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
25% (9/36)	31% (11/35)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)	71% (17/24)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)	50% (4/8)
Winners
12	21
Unforced Errors
14	12
Net Points Won
40% (4/10)	76% (16/21)
Max Points In Row
5	4
Service Points Won
53% (31/59)	65% (40/62)
Return Points Won
35% (22/62)	47% (28/59)
Total Points Won
44% (53/121)	56% (68/121)
Max Games In Row
2	5
Service Games Won
50% (4/8)	89% (8/9)
Return Games Won
11% (1/9)	50% (4/8)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)	71% (12/17)

What is the Probability of Winning?

Alexander Bublik 54.1%

Matteo Arnaldi 45.9%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Alexander Bublik 50%

Matteo Arnaldi 50%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Alexander Bublik 50.3%

Matteo Arnaldi 49.7%

What is the Odds of Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi?

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.91)		2.08 ↑ (1.91)	4.9% (4.7%)

What is the prediction for the Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi?

The most likely score prediction is 2:0.

What is the user predictions?

User prediction is Alexander Bublik will win! (33 of 44 users predict this).

Do you have any preview information?

Two players are playing changeable.
Arnaldi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

Who is the favorite in this match?

Alexander Bublik is the certain favorite in this match.

What were the latest results of Alexander Bublik in their previous matches?

The latest results are as follows:

10.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur 0:2 ✺

08.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Juncheng Shang 2:0 ✺

02.03.2024 Ugo Humbert - Alexander Bublik 2:0 ✺

01.03.2024 Alexander Bublik - Andrey Rublev Bublik A. awarded ✺

29.02.2024 Alexander Bublik - Jiri Lehecka Bublik A. retired ✺

What were the latest results of Matteo Arnaldi in their previous matches?

The latest results are as follows:

20.03.2024 Arthur Fils - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

08.03.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:2 ✺

06.03.2024 Luca Van Assche - Matteo Arnaldi 0:2 ✺

28.02.2024 Ben Shelton - Matteo Arnaldi 2:1 ✺

26.02.2024 Matteo Arnaldi - Taylor Harry Fritz 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Bye
2	Vukic A.	Carballes Baena R.	0 : 2
3	Lajovic D.	Monfils G.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Thompson J. (33)
5	Musetti L. (23)	Bye
6	Safiullin R.	Schwartzman D. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Landaluce M. (WC)	Munar J.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Shelton B. (16)
9	Dimitrov G. (11)	Bye
10	Tabilo A.	Nakashima B. (Q)	2 : 1
11	Ruusuvuori E.	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Mannarino A. (19)
13	Korda S. (28)	Bye
14	Nava E. (Q)	Bautista-Agut R. (Q)	0 : 2
15	Galan D. E.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Hurkacz H. (8)
17	Zverev A. (4)	Bye
18	Auger-Aliassime F.	Walton A. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Sonego L.	Evans D.	1 : 2
20	Bye	Eubanks C. (31)
21	Cerundolo F. (20)	Bye
22	Ofner S.	Nishikori K. (WC)	2 : 0
23	Djere L.	Wong C. (Q)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Khachanov K. (15)
25	De Minaur A. (9)	Bye
26	Muller A.	Kwon S. (PR)	0 : 2
27	Altmaier D.	Mayot H. (Q)	2 : 0
28	Bye	Struff J-L. (24)
29	Lehecka J. (26)	Bye
30	Popyrin A.	Diaz Acosta F.	2 : 0
31	Kovacevic A. (Q)	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Rune H. (6)
33	Ruud C. (7)	Bye
34	Kotov P.	van Assche L.	0 : 2
35	Kecmanovic M.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
36	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)
37	Jarry N. (22)	Bye
38	Draper J.	Daniel T.	2 : 0
39	Seyboth Wild T. (Q)	Borges N.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Fritz T. (12)
41	Humbert U. (14)	Bye
42	Hijikata R.	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
43	Giron M.	Koepfer D.	1 : 2
44	Bye	Baez S. (18)
45	Norrie C. (30)	Bye
46	Nishioka Y. (LL)	Cobolli F.	1 : 2
47	Purcell M.	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
48	Bye	Medvedev D. (3)
49	Rublev A. (5)	Bye
50	Machac T.	Blanch Dar. (WC)	2 : 0
51	Murray A.	Berrettini M. (PR)	2 : 1
52	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (29)
53	Bublik A. (17)	Bye
54	Fils A.	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
55	Darderi L.	Shapovalov D. (PR)	1 : 2
56	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (10)
57	Paul T. (13)	Bye
58	Damm M. (WC)	Zhang Z.	2 : 0
59	O'Connell C.	Kopriva V. (Q)	2 : 0
60	Bye	Tiafoe F. (21)
61	Griekspoor T. (25)	Bye
62	Michelsen A.	Klein L. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Cachin P.	Vavassori A. (Q)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 0
2	Monfils G.	Thompson J. (33)	2 : 1
3	Musetti L. (23)	Safiullin R.	2 : 0
4	Landaluce M.	Shelton B. (16)	0 : 2
5	Dimitrov G. (11)	Tabilo A.	2 : 1
6	Hanfmann Y.	Mannarino A. (19)	2 : 1
7	Korda S. (28)	Bautista-Agut R.	2 : 1
8	Shevchenko A.	Hurkacz H. (8)	1 : 2
9	Zverev A. (4)	Auger-Aliassime F.	2 : 0
10	Evans D.	Eubanks C. (31)	1 : 2
11	Cerundolo F. (20)	Ofner S.	2 : 1
12	Djere L.	Khachanov K. (15)	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (9)	Kwon S.	2 : 0
14	Altmaier D.	Struff J-L. (24)	0 : 2
15	Lehecka J. (26)	Popyrin A.	0 : 2
16	Marozsan F.	Rune H. (6)	2 : 0
17	Ruud C. (7)	van Assche L.	2 : 1
18	Shang J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)	0 : 2
19	Jarry N. (22)	Draper J.	2 : 1
20	Seyboth Wild T.	Fritz T. (12)	2 : 0
21	Humbert U. (14)	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 0
22	Koepfer D.	Baez S. (18)	2 : 0
23	Norrie C. (30)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
24	Fucsovics M.	Medvedev D. (3)	0 : 2
25	Rublev A. (5)	Machac T.	0 : 2
26	Murray A.	Etcheverry T. M. (29)	2 : 0
27	Bublik A. (17)	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
28	Shapovalov D.	Tsitsipas S. (10)	2 : 0
29	Paul T. (RET.) (13)	Damm M.	1 : 0
30	O'Connell C.	Tiafoe F. (21)	2 : 0
31	Griekspoor T. (25)	Michelsen A.	2 : 1
32	Vavassori A.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
2	Musetti L. (23)	Shelton B. (16)	2 : 0
3	Dimitrov G. (11)	Hanfmann Y.	2 : 0
4	Korda S. (28)	Hurkacz H. (8)	1 : 2
5	Zverev A. (4)	Eubanks C. (31)	2 : 0
6	Cerundolo F. (20)	Khachanov K. (15)	1 : 2
7	De Minaur A. (9)	Struff J-L. (24)	2 : 0
8	Popyrin A.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
9	Ruud C. (7)	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)	2 : 0
10	Jarry N. (22)	Seyboth Wild T.	2 : 1
11	Humbert U. (14)	Koepfer D.	1 : 2
12	Norrie C. (30)	Medvedev D. (3)	0 : 2
13	Machac T.	Murray A.	2 : 1
14	Arnaldi M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
15	Damm M.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
16	Griekspoor T. (25)	Sinner J. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Musetti L. (23)	2 : 0
2	Dimitrov G. (11)	Hurkacz H. (8)	2 : 1
3	Zverev A. (4)	Khachanov K. (15)	2 : 0
4	De Minaur A. (9)	Marozsan F.	1 : 2
5	Ruud C. (7)	Jarry N. (22)	0 : 2
6	Koepfer D.	Medvedev D. (3)	0 : 2
7	Machac T.	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
8	O'Connell C.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Alcaraz C. (1)	Dimitrov G. (11)	0 : 2
2	Zverev A. (4)	Marozsan F.	2 : 0
3	Jarry N. (22)	Medvedev D. (3)	0 : 2
4	Machac T.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Dimitrov G. (11)	Zverev A. (4)	2 : 1
2	Medvedev D. (3)	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

Final

Dimitrov G. (11)

Sinner J. (2)

0 : 2