Alex Michelsen vs Karen Khachanov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Toronto Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov
Result
0:2
04/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - Quarter-finals
Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
56
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
63%64%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (37/55)85% (40/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (17/33)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
82% (9/11)86% (6/7)
Average 1st Serve Speed
194 km/h192 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
163 km/h160 km/h
1st Return Points Won
15% (7/47)33% (18/55)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (13/26)48% (16/33)
Break Points Converted
14% (1/7)18% (2/11)
Winners
2416
Unforced Errors
4027
Net Points Won
75% (12/16)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
61% (54/88)73% (53/73)
Return Points Won
27% (20/73)39% (34/88)
Total Points Won
46% (74/161)54% (87/161)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
82% (9/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)18% (2/11)
Total Games Won
45% (10/22)55% (12/22)

Chances of winning


Alex Michelsen
33.3%
Karen Khachanov
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 65.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.84
    (2.67)

    1.44
    (1.46)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 14 - 40%). Khachanov will win (votes: 21 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 43.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Karen Khachanov will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Michelsen is ranked ATP: 34. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 16.
    • In recent matches, Michelsen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Khachanov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Michelsen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Khachanov might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Khachanov will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov 3:0
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Walton A.Bonzi B.2 : 1
    3Schoolkate T. (Q)Fonseca J.2 : 0
    4ByeArnaldi M. (32)
    5Griekspoor T. (24)Bye
    6Herbert P. (Q)Etcheverry T. M.1 : 2
    7Martin D. (Q)Munar J.0 : 2
    8ByeCerundolo F. (14)
    9Medvedev D. (10)Bye
    10Blockx A. (Q)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Arseneault N. (WC)Royer V. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByePopyrin A. (18)
    13Muller A. (29)Bye
    14Kecmanovic M.Halys Q.2 : 1
    15Mochizuki S. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    16ByeRune H. (5)
    17Musetti L. (3)Bye
    18Shang J.Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    19Monfils G.Barrios Vera T. (Q)1 : 2
    20ByeMichelsen A. (26)
    21Shapovalov D. (22)Bye
    22Smith C. (Q)Tien L.0 : 2
    23Ofner S. (PR)Opelka R.0 : 2
    24ByeMachac T. (16)
    25Khachanov K. (11)Bye
    26Fearnley J.Ficovich J. P. (Q)0 : 2
    27Nava E. (Q)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    28ByeAtmane T. (LL)
    29Borges N. (30)Bye
    30Bagnis F. (Q)Pospisil V. (WC)2 : 1
    31Safiullin R.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByeRuud C. (8)
    33Tiafoe F. (7)Bye
    34Watanuki Y. (Q)Altmaier D.2 : 1
    35Vukic A.Martinez P.2 : 0
    36ByeNorrie C. (31)
    37Tsitsipas S. (23)Bye
    38O'Connell C.Tseng C. H. (LL)2 : 0
    39Comesana F.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    40ByeDe Minaur A. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (13)Bye
    42Rinderknech A.Galarneau A. (WC)0 : 2
    43Marozsan F.Dellien H.2 : 0
    44ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (25)Bye
    46Quinn E.Nishioka Y.2 : 0
    47Giron M.Mannarino A. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeShelton B. (4)
    49Rublev A. (6)Bye
    50Bellucci M. (RET.)Gaston H.1 : 1
    51Kopriva V.Bu Y.0 : 2
    52ByeSonego L. (28)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    54Moutet C.Brooksby J. (PR)2 : 0
    55Boyer T. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Fils A. (15)Bye
    58Draxl L. (WC)Carreno-Busta P.1 : 2
    59McDonald M.Goffin D.2 : 0
    60ByeLehecka J. (19)
    61Diallo G. (27)Bye
    62Coric B.Gigante M. (WC)1 : 2
    63Carballes Baena R.Ugo Carabelli C. (RET.)1 : 0
    64ByeFritz T. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Walton A.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Arnaldi M. (32)1 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (24)Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    4Munar J.Cerundolo F. (14)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (10)Svrcina D.2 : 0
    6Arseneault N.Popyrin A. (18)0 : 2
    7Muller A. (29)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    8Mpetshi Perricard G.Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    9Musetti L. (3)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    10Barrios Vera T.Michelsen A. (26)0 : 2
    11Shapovalov D. (22)Tien L.0 : 2
    12Opelka R.Machac T. (16)2 : 1
    13Khachanov K. (11)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0
    14Nava E.Atmane T.2 : 0
    15Borges N. (30)Bagnis F.2 : 1
    16Safiullin R.Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    17Tiafoe F. (7)Watanuki Y.2 : 1
    18Vukic A.Norrie C. (31)2 : 1
    19Tsitsipas S. (23)O'Connell C.1 : 2
    20Comesana F.De Minaur A. (9)0 : 2
    21Cobolli F. (13)Galarneau A.2 : 1
    22Marozsan F.Auger-Aliassime F. (21)2 : 0
    23Nakashima B. (25)Quinn E.2 : 0
    24Mannarino A.Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    25Rublev A. (6)Gaston H.2 : 0
    26Bu Y.Sonego L. (28)0 : 2
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Moutet C.2 : 0
    28Boyer T.Mensik J. (12)0 : 2
    29Fils A. (15)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    30McDonald M.Lehecka J. (19)0 : 2
    31Diallo G. (27)Gigante M.2 : 0
    32Carballes Baena R.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Arnaldi M. (32)2 : 1
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cerundolo F. (14)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (10)Popyrin A. (18)1 : 2
    4Muller A. (29)Rune H. (5)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (3)Michelsen A. (26)1 : 2
    6Tien L.Opelka R.2 : 0
    7Khachanov K. (11)Nava E.2 : 1
    8Borges N. (30)Ruud C. (8)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (7)Vukic A.2 : 1
    10O'Connell C.De Minaur A. (WO.) (9)
    11Cobolli F. (13)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    12Nakashima B. (25)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    13Rublev A. (6)Sonego L. (28)2 : 1
    14Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Mensik J. (12)2 : 0
    15Fils A. (15)Lehecka J. (19)1 : 2
    16Diallo G. (27)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (RET.) (14)1 : 0
    2Popyrin A. (18)Rune H. (5)2 : 1
    3Michelsen A. (26)Tien L.2 : 0
    4Khachanov K. (11)Ruud C. (8)2 : 0
    5Tiafoe F. (7)De Minaur A. (9)1 : 2
    6Cobolli F. (13)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
    7Rublev A. (6)Davidovich Fokina A. (RET.) (20)1 : 1
    8Lehecka J. (19)Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Popyrin A. (18)2 : 1
    2Michelsen A. (26)Khachanov K. (11)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (9)Shelton B. (4)0 : 2
    4Rublev A. (6)Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Khachanov K. (11)1 : 2
    2Shelton B. (4)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Khachanov K. (11)Shelton B. (4)1 : 2
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