Alex Michelsen vs Joao Fonseca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca - Gamble Responsibly 18+

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Result
1:2

When is the event taking place?

It is scheduled for 25/04/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Do you have any additional information?

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals
Referee: Rodriguez P. (Esp)

What is the Match Stats?


Aces
2	3
Double Faults
0	0
1st Serve Percentage
66%	68%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (31/55)	63% (35/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (11/28)	65% (17/26)
Break Points Saved
45% (5/11)	78% (7/9)
1st Return Points Won
38% (21/56)	44% (24/55)
2nd Return Points Won
35% (9/26)	61% (17/28)
Break Points Converted
22% (2/9)	55% (6/11)
Winners
18	22
Unforced Errors
29	21
Net Points Won
56% (19/34)	75% (15/20)
Max Points In Row
7	8
Service Points Won
51% (42/83)	63% (52/82)
Return Points Won
37% (30/82)	49% (41/83)
Total Points Won
44% (72/165)	56% (93/165)
Max Games In Row
4	7
Service Games Won
50% (6/12)	83% (10/12)
Return Games Won
17% (2/12)	50% (6/12)
Total Games Won
33% (8/24)	67% (16/24)

What is the Probability of Winning?

Alex Michelsen 40%

Joao Fonseca 60%

Initially Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Alex Michelsen 45.7%

Joao Fonseca 54.3%

Our Initially ML Estimation

Alex Michelsen 45.1%

Joao Fonseca 54.9%

What is the Odds of Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca?

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.02)		1.59 ↓ (1.7)	8.3% (4.5%)

What is the prediction for the Alex Michelsen - Joao Fonseca?

The most likely score prediction is 0:2.

What is the user predictions?

User prediction is Joao Fonseca will win! (29 of 37 users predict this).

Do you have any preview information?

Michelsen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fonseca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Michelsen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Fonseca will have a mini benefit in this match.
Recently, the players did not play each other.

Who is the favorite in this match?

Joao Fonseca is the certain favorite in this match.

What were the latest results of Alex Michelsen in their previous matches?

The latest results are as follows:

18.04.2024 Alex Michelsen - Christian Garin 1:2 ✺

15.04.2024 Max Hans Rehberg - Alex Michelsen 0:2 ✺

06.04.2024 Corentin Moutet - Alex Michelsen 2:0 ✺

02.04.2024 Alex Michelsen - Max Purcell 1:2 ✺

23.03.2024 Tallon Griekspoor - Alex Michelsen 2:1 ✺

What were the latest results of Joao Fonseca in their previous matches?

The latest results are as follows:

19.04.2024 Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2 ✺

18.04.2024 Joao Fonseca - Radu Albot 2:0 ✺

16.04.2024 Lorenzo Sonego - Joao Fonseca 0:2 ✺

12.04.2024 Leandro Riedi - Joao Fonseca 2:0 ✺

11.04.2024 Joao Fonseca - Harold Mayot 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Bye
2	Gasquet R. (Q)	Sonego L.	0 : 2
3	Ramos A. (Q)	Kotov P.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Thompson J. (32)
5	Jarry N. (22)	Bye
6	Tabilo A.	Cobolli F.	1 : 2
7	Galan D. E.	Bautista-Agut R. (LL)	1 : 2
8	Bye	Khachanov K. (16)
9	Dimitrov G. (9)	Bye
10	Hanfmann Y.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Auger-Aliassime F.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Mannarino A. (19)
13	Norrie C. (29)	Bye
14	Michelsen A.	Fonseca J. (WC)	1 : 2
15	Zhang Z.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
16	Bye	Ruud C. (5)
17	Medvedev D. (3)	Bye
18	O'Connell C.	Arnaldi M.	0 : 2
19	Purcell M.	Giron M.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Korda S. (25)
21	Bublik A. (17)	Bye
22	Koepfer D.	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
23	Machac T.	Ruusuvuori E.	2 : 1
24	Bye	Shelton B. (14)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Blanch Dar. (WC)	Nadal R. (PR)	0 : 2
27	Cachin P.	Ofner S.	2 : 0
28	Bye	Tiafoe F. (20)
29	Lehecka J. (30)	Bye
30	Kovacevic A. (Q)	Medjedovic H. (Q)	1 : 2
31	Lajovic D.	Monteiro T. (Q)	0 : 2
32	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
33	Hurkacz H. (8)	Bye
34	Kokkinakis T. (Q)	Draper J.	1 : 2
35	Altmaier D.	Landaluce M. (WC)	2 : 0
36	Bye	Fils A. (31)
37	Baez S. (18)	Bye
38	van Assche L.	Bergs Z. (WC)	2 : 1
39	Darderi L.	Monfils G.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Fritz T. (12)
41	Paul T. (15)	Bye
42	Klein L. (Q)	Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)	2 : 1
43	Karatsev A.	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
44	Bye	Cerundolo F. (21)
45	Etcheverry T. M. (26)	Bye
46	Diaz Acosta F.	Shapovalov D. (PR)	1 : 2
47	Coric B.	Hassan B. (Q)	2 : 1
48	Bye	Zverev A. (4)
49	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
50	Nakashima B. (Q)	Bagnis F. (Q)	0 : 2
51	Moutet C. (Q)	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
52	Bye	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)
53	Griekspoor T. (24)	Bye
54	Vukic A.	Daniel T.	1 : 2
55	Navone M.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Rune H. (11)
57	Humbert U. (13)	Bye
58	Van De Zandschulp B.	Eubanks C.	2 : 0
59	Munar J.	Borges N.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Struff J-L. (23)
61	Musetti L. (28)	Bye
62	Safiullin R.	Seyboth Wild T.	0 : 2
63	Rinderknech A.	Shevchenko A.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
2	Kotov P.	Thompson J. (32)	2 : 1
3	Jarry N. (22)	Cobolli F.	1 : 2
4	Bautista-Agut R.	Khachanov K. (16)	1 : 2
5	Dimitrov G. (9)	Mensik J.	1 : 2
6	Auger-Aliassime F.	Mannarino A. (19)	2 : 0
7	Norrie C. (29)	Fonseca J.	2 : 0
8	Kecmanovic M.	Ruud C. (5)	0 : 2
9	Medvedev D. (3)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 1
10	Purcell M.	Korda S. (25)	0 : 2
11	Bublik A. (17)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
12	Machac T.	Shelton B. (14)	0 : 2
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Nadal R.	0 : 2
14	Cachin P.	Tiafoe F. (20)	2 : 1
15	Lehecka J. (30)	Medjedovic H.	2 : 0
16	Monteiro T.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 0
17	Hurkacz H. (8)	Draper J.	2 : 0
18	Altmaier D.	Fils A. (31)	2 : 0
19	Baez S. (18)	van Assche L.	2 : 1
20	Darderi L.	Fritz T. (12)	0 : 2
21	Paul T. (15)	Klein L.	2 : 1
22	Marozsan F.	Cerundolo F. (21)	0 : 2
23	Etcheverry T. M. (26)	Shapovalov D.	0 : 2
24	Coric B.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bagnis F.	2 : 0
26	Shang J.	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)	0 : 2
27	Griekspoor T. (24)	Daniel T.	2 : 1
28	Navone M.	Rune H. (11)	1 : 2
29	Humbert U. (13)	Van De Zandschulp B.	2 : 0
30	Munar J.	Struff J-L. (23)	0 : 2
31	Musetti L. (28)	Seyboth Wild T.	0 : 2
32	Shevchenko A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Kotov P.	2 : 0
2	Cobolli F.	Khachanov K. (16)	0 : 2
3	Mensik J. (RET.)	Auger-Aliassime F.	0 : 1
4	Norrie C. (29)	Ruud C. (5)	0 : 2
5	Medvedev D. (3)	Korda S. (25)	2 : 1
6	Bublik A. (17)	Shelton B. (14)	2 : 1
7	Nadal R.	Cachin P.	2 : 1
8	Lehecka J. (30)	Monteiro T.	2 : 0
9	Hurkacz H. (8)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
10	Baez S. (18)	Fritz T. (12)	0 : 2
11	Paul T. (15)	Cerundolo F. (21)	1 : 2
12	Shapovalov D.	Zverev A. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Davidovich Fokina A. (27)	2 : 0
14	Griekspoor T. (24)	Rune H. (11)	2 : 1
15	Humbert U. (13)	Struff J-L. (23)	0 : 2
16	Seyboth Wild T.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Khachanov K. (16)	2 : 1
2	Auger-Aliassime F.	Ruud C. (5)	2 : 0
3	Medvedev D. (3)	Bublik A. (17)	2 : 0
4	Nadal R.	Lehecka J. (30)	0 : 2
5	Hurkacz H. (8)	Fritz T. (12)	0 : 2
6	Cerundolo F. (21)	Zverev A. (4)	2 : 0
7	Rublev A. (7)	Griekspoor T. (24)	2 : 0
8	Struff J-L. (23)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sinner J. (1)	Auger-Aliassime F. (WO.)
2	Medvedev D. (RET.) (3)	Lehecka J. (30)	0 : 1
3	Fritz T. (12)	Cerundolo F. (21)	2 : 1
4	Rublev A. (7)	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Auger-Aliassime F.	Lehecka J. (RET.) (30)	0 : 0
2	Fritz T. (12)	Rublev A. (7)	0 : 2

Final

Auger-Aliassime F.

Rublev A. (7)

1 : 2