Koki Watanabe vs Alex Lanier: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Badminton BWF World Tour Japan Open Men Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier
19/07/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BWF WORLD TOUR - MEN: Japan Open - Semi-finals
Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Koki Watanabe
41.4%
Alex Lanier
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Koki Watanabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Alex Lanier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Watanabe than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Koki Watanabe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Lanier than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Lanier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.14)

    1.58
    (1.63)
    7.9%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Watanabe is ranked BWF: 21. Lanier is ranked BWF: 8.
    • Watanabe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lanier is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Lanier will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watanabe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Koki Watanabe - Alex Lanier were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe 0:2
    07.07.2024 Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe 1:2
    20.03.2024 Alex Lanier - Koki Watanabe 2:1
    Latest results of Koki Watanabe
    Latest results of Alex Lanier
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Vitidsarn K.Weng H. Y.0 : 2
    2Lin Chun-YiLu G. Z.2 : 0
    3Chou T. Ch.Teh J. H. J.2 : 1
    4Watanabe K.Nguyen N.2 : 0
    5Christie J.Nishimoto K.0 : 2
    6Tanaka Y.Chi Y. J.0 : 2
    7Lanier A.Leong J. H.2 : 0
    8Farhan A.Lee C. H.2 : 0
    9Wangcharoen K.Wang T. W.0 : 2
    10Lee C. Y.Li S. F.0 : 2
    11Ng Ka L. A.Yang B.2 : 1
    12Popov T. J.Shi Y. Q.1 : 2
    13Wang Z. X.Sen L.0 : 2
    14Ginting A. S.Naraoka K.0 : 2
    15Gemke R.Popov C.0 : 2
    16Lei L. X.Antonsen A.2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Weng H. Y.Lin Chun-Yi2 : 0
    2Chou T. Ch.Watanabe K.1 : 2
    3Nishimoto K.Chi Y. J.0 : 2
    4Lanier A.Farhan A.2 : 1
    5Wang T. W.Li S. F. (RET.)0 : 1
    6Ng Ka L. A.Shi Y. Q.1 : 2
    7Sen L.Naraoka K.0 : 2
    8Popov C.Lei L. X.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Weng H. Y.Watanabe K.1 : 2
    2Chi Y. J.Lanier A.0 : 2
    3Wang T. W.Shi Y. Q.0 : 2
    4Naraoka K.Popov C.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Watanabe K.Lanier A.
    2Shi Y. Q.Popov C.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    X
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