Result
2:1
24/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 55% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (38/54) | 69% (42/61) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 45% (14/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 20% (1/5) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 30% (16/54) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (17/31) | 38% (17/45) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 38% (3/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 27 | 43 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 60% (9/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (66/99) | 61% (56/92) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (36/92) | 33% (33/99) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (102/191) | 47% (89/191) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 75% (12/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 18% (3/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Alex De Minaur
54% | Joao Fonseca
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Fonseca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.58) |
|
2.06 ↓
(2.18) |
5.3%
(9.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca?
The most likely score is 2:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- De Minaur is ranked ATP: 11. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 60.
- Recent matches De Minaur is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Fonseca is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- De Minaur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
- Recently, the players did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Joao Fonseca?
Alex De Minaur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joao Fonseca won against Alex De Minaur?
Joao Fonseca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca were as follows:
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Latest results of Joao Fonseca
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. | Fearnley J. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Mpetshi Perricard G. (28) | |
| 5 | Fils A. (17) | Bye | |
| 6 | Diallo G. (LL) | Etcheverry T. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Struff J-L. | Davidovich Fokina A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Tiafoe F. (16) | |
| 9 | Rune H. (11) | Bye | |
| 10 | Eubanks C. (WC) | Opelka R. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Arnaldi M. | Wu Y. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Machac T. (20) | |
| 13 | Popyrin A. (25) | Bye | |
| 14 | Safiullin R. | Brooksby J. (PR) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Bautista-Agut R. | Mensik J. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Draper J. (6) | |
| 17 | Fritz T. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Sonego L. | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Tirante T. A. (Q) | Cobolli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (27) | |
| 21 | Walton A. (LL) | Bye | |
| 22 | Martinez P. | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Wong C. (WC) | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Shelton B. (13) | |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bu Y. | Norrie C. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Fonseca J. | Tien L. | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Humbert U. (19) | |
| 29 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Gaston H. (LL) | Nishioka Y. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Bergs Z. | Borges N. | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Rublev A. (8) | |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 34 | Rinderknech A. | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Monfils G. | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Bye | Lehecka J. (26) | |
| 37 | Korda S. (24) | Bye | |
| 38 | Spizzirri E. (WC) | Harris B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Tseng C. H. (Q) | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Tsitsipas S. (9) | |
| 41 | Musetti L. (15) | Bye | |
| 42 | Seyboth Wild T. | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Quinn E. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 44 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | |
| 45 | Michelsen A. (32) | Bye | |
| 46 | Ugo Carabelli C. (LL) | Holt B. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 47 | Hijikata R. | Medjedovic H. | 2 : 1 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | Ruud C. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Kovacevic A. | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 51 | Blockx A. (Q) | Moutet C. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Tabilo A. (30) | |
| 53 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Bye | |
| 54 | Muller A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Bublik A. | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 56 | Bye | Paul T. (12) | |
| 57 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Comesana F. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | McDonald M. (Q) | Kyrgios N. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Khachanov K. (22) | |
| 61 | Nakashima B. (31) | Bye | |
| 62 | O'Connell C. (Q) | Carballes Baena R. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Vukic A. | Goffin D. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fearnley J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Thompson J. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fils A. (17) | Diallo G. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Davidovich Fokina A. | Tiafoe F. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rune H. (11) | Opelka R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Machac T. (20) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Popyrin A. (25) | Safiullin R. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Mensik J. | Draper J. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Fritz T. (3) | Sonego L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Shapovalov D. (27) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Walton A. (LL) | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Wong C. | Shelton B. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | De Minaur A. (10) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Fonseca J. | Humbert U. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Berrettini M. (29) | Gaston H. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bergs Z. | Rublev A. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Munar J. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Monfils G. | Lehecka J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Korda S. (24) | Spizzirri E. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Tseng C. H. | Tsitsipas S. (9) | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Musetti L. (15) | Halys Q. | 2 : 1 |
| 22 | Schoolkate T. | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Michelsen A. (32) | Ugo Carabelli C. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Hijikata R. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Ruud C. (5) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Moutet C. | Tabilo A. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 27 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Muller A. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bublik A. | Paul T. (12) | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Cina F. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Kyrgios N. | Khachanov K. (22) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Nakashima B. (31) | Carballes Baena R. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Goffin D. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Thompson J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Fils A. (17) | Tiafoe F. (16) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Opelka R. | Machac T. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Safiullin R. | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fritz T. (3) | Shapovalov D. (27) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Walton A. | Wong C. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | De Minaur A. (10) | Fonseca J. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Berrettini M. (29) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Munar J. | Monfils G. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Korda S. (24) | Tsitsipas S. (9) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Musetti L. (15) | Auger-Aliassime F. (18) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Ruud C. (5) | Tabilo A. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Paul T. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Khachanov K. (22) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Nakashima B. (31) | Goffin D. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Fils A. (17) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Machac T. (20) | Mensik J. (WO.) | |
| 3 | Fritz T. (3) | Walton A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Minaur A. (10) | Berrettini M. (29) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Monfils G. | Korda S. (24) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Musetti L. (15) | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ruud C. (5) | Cerundolo F. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Dimitrov G. (14) | Nakashima B. (31) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Fils A. (17) | Mensik J. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Fritz T. (3) | Berrettini M. (29) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Korda S. (24) | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (23) | Dimitrov G. (14) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mensik J. | Fritz T. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Djokovic N. (4) | Dimitrov G. (14) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Mensik J. | Djokovic N. (4) | 2 : 0 |
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