Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Jacob Fearnley: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:2
05/05/2026 at 07:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final
Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
42
1st serve percentage
58%79%
1st serve points won
67% (35/52)67% (40/60)
2nd serve points won
41% (15/37)50% (8/16)
Break Points Saved
5/94/7
1st return points won
33% (20/60)33% (17/52)
2nd return points won
50% (8/16)59% (22/37)
Break Points Converted
3/74/9
Winners
1334
Unforced errors
2831
Net points won
57% (4/7)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
56% (50/89)63% (48/76)
Return Points Won
37% (28/76)44% (39/89)
Total Points Won
47% (78/165)53% (87/165)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (8/12)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)33% (4/12)
Total games won
44% (11/25)56% (14/25)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
41.1%
Jacob Fearnley
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 59.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.42)

    1.6
    (1.52)
    6.1%
    (7.1%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Jacob Fearnley?
    • Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 95. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 123.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Fearnley could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Latest results of Jacob Fearnley
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Ofner S.Michelsen A.2 : 0
    3Popyrin A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4ByeMensik J. (26)
    5Tiafoe F. (20)Bye
    6Sonego L.Buse I.0 : 2
    7Pellegrino A. (Q)Nardi L. (WC)2 : 1
    8ByeFils A. (15)
    9Rublev A. (12)Bye
    10Svrcina D. (Q)Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    11Garin C. (Q)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0
    12ByeDavidovich Fokina A. (21)
    13Nakashima B. (30)Bye
    14Bautista-Agut R.Maestrelli F. (WC)2 : 0
    15Basilashvili N. (Q)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)2 : 1
    16ByeShelton B. (5)
    17Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Bye
    18Shapovalov D.Navone M.0 : 2
    19Medjedovic H.Royer V.2 : 0
    20ByeFonseca J. (27)
    21Etcheverry T. M. (24)Bye
    22Burruchaga R. A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    23Giron M.Cilic M.0 : 2
    24ByeLandaluce M. (LL)
    25Cobolli F. (10)Bye
    26Bergs Z.Atmane T.0 : 2
    27Tirante T. A.Cadenasso G. (WC)2 : 1
    28ByeNorrie C. (17)
    29Moutet C. (28)Bye
    30Quinn E.Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)1 : 2
    31Tsitsipas S.Machac T.0 : 2
    32ByeMedvedev D. (7)
    33Musetti L. (8)Bye
    34Fearnley J. (Q)Mpetshi Perricard G.1 : 2
    35Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    36ByeCerundolo F. (25)
    37Ruud C. (23)Bye
    38Trungelliti M.Svajda Z.1 : 2
    39Struff J-L.Comesana F. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeLehecka J. (11)
    41Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    42Ugo Carabelli C.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    43Muller A.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    44ByeKovacevic A. (LL)
    45Humbert U. (31)Bye
    46Marozsan F.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    47Fucsovics M.Prizmic D. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeDjokovic N. (3)
    49De Minaur A. (6)Bye
    50Arnaldi M. (WC)Munar J.2 : 1
    51De Jong J. (Q)Borges N.0 : 2
    52ByeJodar R. (32)
    53Tien L. (19)Bye
    54Dzumhur D.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    55Brooksby J.Baez S.0 : 2
    56ByeBublik A. (9)
    57Paul T. (16)Bye
    58Vukic A.Kypson P. (Q)2 : 1
    59Hurkacz H.Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    60ByeDarderi L. (18)
    61Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    62Cina F. (WC)Blockx A.1 : 2
    63Zhang Z. (PR)Altmaier D.1 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Ofner S.2 : 0
    2Popyrin A.Mensik J. (26)2 : 1
    3Tiafoe F. (20)Buse I.2 : 1
    4Pellegrino A.Fils A. (RET.) (15)0 : 0
    5Rublev A. (12)Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    6Garin C.Davidovich Fokina A. (21)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (30)Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0
    8Basilashvili N.Shelton B. (5)2 : 1
    9Auger-Aliassime F. (4)Navone M.0 : 2
    10Medjedovic H.Fonseca J. (27)2 : 1
    11Etcheverry T. M. (24)Bellucci M.1 : 2
    12Cilic M.Landaluce M. (LL)0 : 2
    13Cobolli F. (10)Atmane T.2 : 0
    14Tirante T. A.Norrie C. (17)2 : 0
    15Moutet C. (28)Llamas Ruiz P.1 : 2
    16Machac T.Medvedev D. (WO.) (7)
    17Musetti L. (8)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    18Tabilo A.Cerundolo F. (25)0 : 2
    19Ruud C. (23)Svajda Z.2 : 0
    20Struff J-L.Lehecka J. (11)0 : 2
    21Khachanov K. (13)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    22Van De Zandschulp B.Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    23Humbert U. (31)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    24Prizmic D.Djokovic N. (3)2 : 1
    25De Minaur A. (6)Arnaldi M.1 : 2
    26Borges N.Jodar R. (32)0 : 2
    27Tien L. (19)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Bublik A. (9)0 : 2
    29Paul T. (16)Vukic A.2 : 0
    30Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (29)Blockx A.1 : 2
    32Altmaier D.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    2Tiafoe F. (20)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (12)Davidovich Fokina A. (21)2 : 0
    4Nakashima B. (30)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    5Navone M.Medjedovic H.1 : 2
    6Bellucci M.Landaluce M.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8Llamas Ruiz P.Medvedev D. (7)1 : 2
    9Musetti L. (8)Cerundolo F. (25)2 : 0
    10Ruud C. (23)Lehecka J. (11)2 : 0
    11Khachanov K. (13)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    12Humbert U. (31)Prizmic D.0 : 2
    13Arnaldi M.Jodar R. (32)1 : 2
    14Tien L. (19)Bublik A. (9)2 : 1
    15Paul T. (16)Darderi L. (18)1 : 2
    16Blockx A.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Pellegrino A.2 : 0
    2Rublev A. (12)Basilashvili N.2 : 1
    3Medjedovic H.Landaluce M.0 : 2
    4Tirante T. A.Medvedev D. (7)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (8)Ruud C. (23)0 : 2
    6Khachanov K. (13)Prizmic D.2 : 0
    7Jodar R. (32)Tien L. (19)2 : 0
    8Darderi L. (18)Zverev A. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Rublev A. (12)2 : 0
    2Landaluce M.Medvedev D. (7)1 : 2
    3Ruud C. (23)Khachanov K. (13)2 : 1
    4Jodar R. (32)Darderi L. (18)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Medvedev D. (7)2 : 1
    2Ruud C. (23)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sinner J. (1)Ruud C. (23)2 : 0
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