Result
0:2
06/05/2026 at 11:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 82% | 63% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 88% (23/26) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 10/14 | 0/0 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 12% (3/26) | 50% (23/46) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 50% (5/10) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0/0 | 4/14 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 80% (4/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 78% (32/41) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 22% (9/41) | 50% (28/56) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (37/97) | 62% (60/97) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 100% (8/8) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 80% (12/15) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
33.1% | Alejandro Tabilo
66.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.77) |
|
1.43 ↓
(1.44) |
4.9%
(5.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo?
- Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tabilo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 25.1% – 83.9%. - Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 100%).
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +4 Games - Carreno Busta (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 91. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 35.
- Recent performances by Carreno Busta have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tabilo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tabilo might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Tabilo will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Alejandro Tabilo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
17.10.2025
Alejandro Tabilo
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
1:2
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Ofner S. | Michelsen A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Popyrin A. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Mensik J. (26) | |
| 5 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Bye | |
| 6 | Sonego L. | Buse I. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Nardi L. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Fils A. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (12) | Bye | |
| 10 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Kecmanovic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Garin C. (Q) | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Davidovich Fokina A. (21) | |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (30) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bautista-Agut R. | Maestrelli F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Shelton B. (5) | |
| 17 | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Shapovalov D. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Medjedovic H. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bye | Fonseca J. (27) | |
| 21 | Etcheverry T. M. (24) | Bye | |
| 22 | Burruchaga R. A. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Giron M. | Cilic M. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Landaluce M. (LL) | |
| 25 | Cobolli F. (10) | Bye | |
| 26 | Bergs Z. | Atmane T. | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tirante T. A. | Cadenasso G. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Norrie C. (17) | |
| 29 | Moutet C. (28) | Bye | |
| 30 | Quinn E. | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 31 | Tsitsipas S. | Machac T. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Medvedev D. (7) | |
| 33 | Musetti L. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Fearnley J. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 1 : 2 |
| 35 | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | Tabilo A. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Cerundolo F. (25) | |
| 37 | Ruud C. (23) | Bye | |
| 38 | Trungelliti M. | Svajda Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 39 | Struff J-L. | Comesana F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Lehecka J. (11) | |
| 41 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Shevchenko A. | 1 : 2 |
| 43 | Muller A. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 44 | Bye | Kovacevic A. (LL) | |
| 45 | Humbert U. (31) | Bye | |
| 46 | Marozsan F. | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 47 | Fucsovics M. | Prizmic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (3) | |
| 49 | De Minaur A. (6) | Bye | |
| 50 | Arnaldi M. (WC) | Munar J. | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | De Jong J. (Q) | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Jodar R. (32) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (19) | Bye | |
| 54 | Dzumhur D. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Brooksby J. | Baez S. | 0 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Bublik A. (9) | |
| 57 | Paul T. (16) | Bye | |
| 58 | Vukic A. | Kypson P. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 59 | Hurkacz H. | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 62 | Cina F. (WC) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 63 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Altmaier D. | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ofner S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Mensik J. (26) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Fils A. (RET.) (15) | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (12) | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Davidovich Fokina A. (21) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (30) | Bautista-Agut R. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Basilashvili N. | Shelton B. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Auger-Aliassime F. (4) | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Medjedovic H. | Fonseca J. (27) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Etcheverry T. M. (24) | Bellucci M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Cilic M. | Landaluce M. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Cobolli F. (10) | Atmane T. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tirante T. A. | Norrie C. (17) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Moutet C. (28) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Machac T. | Medvedev D. (WO.) (7) | |
| 17 | Musetti L. (8) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 18 | Tabilo A. | Cerundolo F. (25) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Ruud C. (23) | Svajda Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Struff J-L. | Lehecka J. (11) | 0 : 2 |
| 21 | Khachanov K. (13) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 22 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 23 | Humbert U. (31) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Prizmic D. | Djokovic N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 25 | De Minaur A. (6) | Arnaldi M. | 1 : 2 |
| 26 | Borges N. | Jodar R. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Tien L. (19) | Dzumhur D. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Baez S. | Bublik A. (9) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Paul T. (16) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 30 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (18) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Altmaier D. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Tiafoe F. (20) | Pellegrino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (12) | Davidovich Fokina A. (21) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nakashima B. (30) | Basilashvili N. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Navone M. | Medjedovic H. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bellucci M. | Landaluce M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Cobolli F. (10) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Medvedev D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Musetti L. (8) | Cerundolo F. (25) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ruud C. (23) | Lehecka J. (11) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Khachanov K. (13) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Humbert U. (31) | Prizmic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Arnaldi M. | Jodar R. (32) | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Tien L. (19) | Bublik A. (9) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Paul T. (16) | Darderi L. (18) | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Blockx A. | Zverev A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (12) | Basilashvili N. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Medjedovic H. | Landaluce M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Medvedev D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Musetti L. (8) | Ruud C. (23) | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Khachanov K. (13) | Prizmic D. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Jodar R. (32) | Tien L. (19) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (18) | Zverev A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Rublev A. (12) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. | Medvedev D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (23) | Khachanov K. (13) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jodar R. (32) | Darderi L. (18) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Medvedev D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (23) | Darderi L. (18) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Ruud C. (23) | 2 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alejandro Tabilo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
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 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2 |
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 Poland | Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 3 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
