Result
2:0
23/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 62% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (33/53) | 61% (31/51) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (15/28) | 42% (13/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 64% (7/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (20/51) | 38% (20/53) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 46% (13/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 43% (3/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (48/81) | 54% (44/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (38/82) | 41% (33/81) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (86/163) | 47% (77/163) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 27% (3/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
64.8% | Alejandro Moro Canas
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Moro Canas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Moro Canas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.64) |
|
2.71 ↑
(2.06) |
6.7%
(9.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 222. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 266.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Moro Canas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llamas Ruiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Llamas Ruiz won against Alejandro Moro Canas?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Moro Canas won against Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Alejandro Moro Canas has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Alejandro Moro Canas were as follows:
06.02.2025
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
2:0
20.02.2024
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
2:1
20.07.2023
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
2:1
16.06.2023
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
-
Alejandro Moro Canas
1:2
30.11.2022
Alejandro Moro Canas
-
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
0:2
Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Latest results of Alejandro Moro Canas
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
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