Alejandro Moro Canas vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis Porto 2 Challenger Men Alejandro Moro Canas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto 2, clay - Semi-finals
Alejandro Moro Canas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
68%55%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (37/59)67% (37/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (15/28)47% (21/45)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/55)37% (22/59)
2nd Return Points Won
53% (24/45)46% (13/28)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
61% (51/84)58% (58/100)
Return Points Won
42% (42/100)39% (33/84)
Total Points Won
51% (93/184)49% (91/184)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
50% (13/26)50% (13/26)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Moro Canas
51.5%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Alejandro Moro Canas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.83)

    1.94
    (1.83)
    7%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 300. Bailly is ranked ATP: 341.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Moro Canas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Seyboth Wild T. (1)Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    2Pereira T.Dodig M.1 : 2
    3Wallin O. (Q)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    4Hernandez A. (Alt)Olivieri G. A. (7)0 : 2
    5Barrena A. (4)Negritu Ch.2 : 0
    6Alvarez Varona N.Strombachs R. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Bailly G. A. (NG)Mrva M. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Araujo P. (WC)Ymer E. (5)2 : 1
    9Ferreira Silva F. (8)Alcala Gurri M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Torres T. (Q)Barton H.2 : 1
    11Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)Pieczonka F. (Q)2 : 0
    12Brunold M.Rocha H. (3)2 : 0
    13Popko D. (6)Kuzmanov D.0 : 2
    14Michalski D.Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    15Rocha F. (WC)McKennon M. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    16Poljicak M.Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sanchez Izquierdo N.Dodig M.2 : 0
    2Moro Canas A.Olivieri G. A. (7)2 : 1
    3Barrena A. (4)Alvarez Varona N.0 : 2
    4Bailly G. A.Araujo P.2 : 0
    5Ferreira Silva F. (8)Torres T.2 : 0
    6Jorda Sanchis D.Brunold M.2 : 1
    7Kuzmanov D.Michalski D.1 : 2
    8Rocha F.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sanchez Izquierdo N.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    2Alvarez Varona N.Bailly G. A.1 : 2
    3Ferreira Silva F. (8)Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 0
    4Michalski D.Den Ouden G. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moro Canas A.Bailly G. A.1 : 2
    2Ferreira Silva F. (8)Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bailly G. A.Den Ouden G. (2)0 : 2
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