Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Adelaide Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert
Result
1:2
16/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Adelaide, hard - Semi-finals
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
510
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
71%67%
1st serve points won
70% (51/73)78% (53/68)
2nd serve points won
60% (18/30)55% (18/33)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)0% (0/1)
1st return points won
22% (15/68)30% (22/73)
2nd return points won
45% (15/33)40% (12/30)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)33% (1/3)
Winners
2637
Unforced errors
3050
Net points won
92% (12/13)86% (12/14)
Service Points Won
67% (69/103)70% (71/101)
Return Points Won
30% (30/101)33% (34/103)
Total Points Won
49% (99/204)51% (105/204)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
94% (15/16)94% (16/17)
Return games won
6% (1/17)6% (1/16)
Total games won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
47%
Ugo Humbert
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ugo Humbert could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2)

    1.78
    (1.8)
    5.6%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert?
    • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Humbert will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 45.2%82.8%.
    • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Humbert (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 15. Humbert is ranked ATP: 36.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 2.
    • Davidovich Fokina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Humbert is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Humbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Humbert will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert were as follows:
    28.12.2025 Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0
    28.10.2025 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert Canceled
    25.10.2025 Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Humbert U. retired
    09.02.2024 Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 2:0
    08.02.2023 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert 1:1
    Latest results of Ugo Humbert
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Bye
    2Schoolkate T. (WC)Hijikata R. (WC)0 : 2
    3Kokkinakis T.Korda S.2 : 1
    4Kecmanovic M.Vacherot V. (5)0 : 2
    5Griekspoor T. (4)Bye
    6Humbert U.Atmane T.2 : 0
    7Quinn E.Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    8Dzumhur D.Shevchenko A. (Q)1 : 2
    9Machac T. (8)Duckworth J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Fearnley J. (LL)Halys Q. (Q)0 : 2
    11Altmaier D.Munar J.0 : 2
    12ByeCerundolo F. (3)
    13Tsitsipas S. (7)Vukic A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Vavassori A. (Q)Diallo G.2 : 0
    15Opelka R.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    16ByePaul T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Hijikata R.2 : 0
    2Kokkinakis T.Vacherot V. (WO.) (5)
    3Griekspoor T. (4)Humbert U.0 : 2
    4Fucsovics M.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    5Machac T. (8)Halys Q.2 : 0
    6Munar J.Cerundolo F. (3)2 : 1
    7Vukic A.Vavassori A.2 : 0
    8Opelka R.Paul T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Vacherot V. (5)2 : 0
    2Humbert U.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    3Machac T. (8)Munar J.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Paul T. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Davidovich Fokina A. (1)Humbert U.1 : 2
    2Machac T. (8)Paul T. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Humbert U.Machac T. (8)1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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