Sertanense vs Alcains: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Sertanense - Alcains
Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Sertanense - Alcains - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 1, ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sertanense
46.3%
Draw
29.6%
Alcains
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 21% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.
  • Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Sertanense - Alcains Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.72)
    3.06
    (3.64)
    3.76
    (4.12)
    10.5%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Sertanense is Relegated to
    • Alcains is Relegated to
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 3.
    • Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Alcains has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Sertanense is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Alcains were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Alcains - Sertanense 2:0
    16.04.2023 Sertanense - Alcains 1:3
    08.01.2023 Alcains - Sertanense 0:3
    11.09.2022 Alcains - Sertanense 0:1
    Latest results of Sertanense
    29.03.2025 Os Marialvas - Sertanense 2:1
    02.03.2025 Sertanense - Elvas 0:0
    23.02.2025 Fatima - Sertanense 1:1
    16.02.2025 Sertanense - Pero Pinheiro 1:0
    Latest results of Alcains
    15.03.2025 Marinhense - Alcains 1:0
    09.03.2025 Alcains - Peniche 0:2
    23.02.2025 Alcains - Pombal 0:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B632114:11311
    2Paredes623110:739
    3AD Marco 0961326:7-16
    4Leca620410:15-56


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lusitano GC660015:41118
    2Amora62227:708
    3O Elvas CAD61236:11-55
    4Fatima61055:11-63

          Promotion ~ Liga 3

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