Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:0
31/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 19
Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.18
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
75% (231/308)82% (378/462)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.06
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
75% (231/308)82% (378/462)
Long passes
36% (20/55)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)66% (69/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.68
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
1016
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5740
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.061.26
Goals prevented
0.06-1.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Fitzgerald M. , Inamura H. ,
  • 46', Junker K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Izumi R. , Morishima T. (A),
  • 64', Nakayama K. , Uchida T. ,
  • 70', Hashimoto K. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 70', Arai T. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 75', Nagai K. 🟨,
  • 75', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 76', Izumi R. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 83', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 83', Taniguchi K. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Kikuchi T. , Uchida T. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. , Kikuchi T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
44.5%
Draw
29.8%
Albirex Niigata
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 29.2% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 29.4% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.94)
    3.15
    (3.22)
    3.68
    (4.22)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4.
    • Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Niigata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 4:3
    18.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0
    09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    01.04.2023 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on channel
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