Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:0
31/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 19
Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.18
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Passes
75% (231/308)82% (378/462)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.390.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.06
Total shots
176
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
72
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1610
Passes
75% (231/308)82% (378/462)
Long passes
36% (20/55)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
65% (76/117)66% (69/104)
Crosses
21% (5/24)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.68
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
1016
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5740
Clearances
2538
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.061.26
Goals prevented
0.06-1.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Fitzgerald M. , Inamura H. ,
  • 46', Junker K. , Morishima T. ,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Izumi R. , Morishima T. (A),
  • 64', Nakayama K. , Uchida T. ,
  • 70', Hashimoto K. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 70', Arai T. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 75', Nagai K. 🟨,
  • 75', Nagai K. , Yamagishi Y. ,
  • 76', Izumi R. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 83', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 83', Taniguchi K. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Kikuchi T. , Uchida T. (A),
  • 90+2', 3 - 0, Yamagishi Y. , Kikuchi T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
44.5%
Draw
29.8%
Albirex Niigata
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 29.2% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 29.4% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (1.94)
    3.15
    (3.22)
    3.68
    (4.22)
    6.4%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nagoya: 44.1%85.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nagoya Grampus will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 4.
    • Nagoya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Niigata's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Niigata has had a series of home games.
    • Nagoya could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Schmidt D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Niigata: Akiyama H. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 4:3
    18.09.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 3:0
    09.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:0
    05.08.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    01.04.2023 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 1:3
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers19131529:151440
    2Kyoto20104630:22834
    3Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    4Kashiwa Reysol1997322:17534
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima18102620:14632
    6Vissel Kobe1893623:19430
    7Kawasaki Frontale1878330:191129
    8Cerezo Osaka2085730:26429
    9Shimizu S-Pulse1974826:26025
    10Machida1974822:23-125
    11Okayama1966716:17-124
    12Gamba Osaka1973923:27-424
    13Verdy1966713:18-524
    14Nagoya Grampus1965824:26-223
    15Avispa Fukuoka1965815:19-423
    16Shonan Bellmare1964914:23-922
    17Yokohama FC19541013:20-719
    18FC Tokyo1854917:26-919
    19Albirex Niigata1837819:27-816
    20Yokohama F. Marinos18351018:26-814

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on channel
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