Albirex Niigata vs Machida Zelvia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia
Result
0:4
29/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 22
Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.78
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2124
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
69
Passes
85% (457/540)81% (244/303)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.181.11
Total shots
2124
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
912
Blocked Shots
114
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
811
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
69
Touches in opposition box
3630
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
64
Passes
85% (457/540)81% (244/303)
Long passes
32% (12/38)57% (28/49)
Passes in final third
76% (117/153)71% (82/115)
Crosses
27% (3/11)42% (11/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.24
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
46
Tackles
81% (13/16)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
2621
Interceptions
511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.110.18
Goals prevented
-2.890.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Nishimura T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 51', Shimoda H. 🟨,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Soma Y. , Fujio S. (A),
  • 67', 0 - 3, Soma Y. ,
  • 69', Ota S. , Kasai K. ,
  • 69', Miyamoto E. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 76', 0 - 4, Fujio S. , Nishimura T. (A),
  • 78', Fujio S. , Duke M. ,
  • 78', Hayashi K. , Nakayama Y. ,
  • 78', Shimoda H. , Sento K. ,
  • 83', Akiyama H. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 83', Hasegawa M. , Yamura K. ,
  • 88', Kikuchi R. , Dresevic I. ,
  • 88', Soma Y. , Na Sang-Ho ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
25.1%
Draw
28.5%
Machida Zelvia
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.9% 29.6% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 29.9% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (3.68)
    3.33
    (3.22)
    2.05
    (2.15)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2.
    • Niigata has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Machida Zelvia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    08.09.2024 Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    04.09.2024 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 5:0
    25.08.2024 Albirex Niigata - Machida Zelvia 0:0
    01.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata 1:3
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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