Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata
Result
2:1
05/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 23
Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.96
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
67
Passes
72% (216/299)78% (323/416)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.720.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.551.05
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
86
Passes
72% (216/299)78% (323/416)
Long passes
36% (15/42)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
67% (90/134)60% (50/83)
Crosses
22% (5/23)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.33
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
68
Tackles
80% (12/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
3038
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.051.55
Goals prevented
0.05-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 29', 0 - 1, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio , Hirato T. (A),
  • 42', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 1, Marco Tulio , Hara T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Danilo Gomes , Ota S. ,
  • 57', Kasai K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 59', Nagasawa S. , Matsuda T. ,
  • 64', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
  • 77', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 81', Hayakawa F. , Miyamoto E. ,
  • 86', Kawasaki S. , Leo Gomes ,
  • 86', Marco Tulio , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 87', Hasegawa M. , Yamura K. ,
  • 90+4', Hirato T. , Asada S. ,
  • 90+4', Hara T. , Hiraga S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
48.3%
Draw
26.9%
Albirex Niigata
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 28.1% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 27.5% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.11)
    3.47
    (3.4)
    3.76
    (3.61)
    6.5%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.71%99.23%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Sato K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:2
    12.08.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 2:0
    20.04.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    28.10.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata 0:1
    11.06.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kyoto Sanga 1:3
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    28.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka 3:1
    11.06.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Nara Club 1:0
    31.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo 3:0
    25.05.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kyoto Sanga 1:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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