Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 26
Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.31
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
80% (323/406)82% (326/398)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.801.13
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1926
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
118
Passes
80% (323/406)82% (326/398)
Long passes
33% (22/67)36% (16/44)
Passes in final third
63% (67/106)68% (89/130)
Crosses
31% (5/16)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.98
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
813
Tackles
70% (7/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3636
Clearances
3319
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.131.80
Goals prevented
0.130.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Shirai E. , Moraes (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Ito T. ,
  • 45+4', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Tashiro R. 🟨,
  • 57', Moraes , Shimamura T. ,
  • 63', Marcinho , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 71', Uemura H. , Arai T. ,
  • 72', Ohara M. , Taniguchi K. ,
  • 77', Tachibanada K. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 83', Hasegawa M. , Yamura K. ,
  • 85', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,
  • 87', Ito T. , Noda H. ,
  • 87', Erison , Kanda S. ,
  • 90+4', Fujiwara S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
25.1%
Draw
26%
Kawasaki Frontale
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 22.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 18.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kawasaki Frontale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (4.05)
    3.72
    (4.05)
    2.01
    (1.7)
    3.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 50.9%95.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kawasaki is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Kawasaki is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury) Uremovic F. (Red Card) van Wermeskerken S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1
    13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 0:2
    09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1
    27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 5:1
    22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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