Kawasaki Frontale vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata
Result
3:1
25/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 15
Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.76
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
82% (266/326)92% (540/588)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.091.76
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.38
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1719
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
88
Passes
82% (266/326)92% (540/588)
Long passes
23% (7/30)52% (17/33)
Passes in final third
67% (57/85)79% (100/127)
Crosses
56% (5/9)13% (4/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.42
Throw-ins
617
Fouls
88
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (4/8)
Duels won
3622
Clearances
3318
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.382.44
Goals prevented
0.38-0.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Wakizaka Y. ,
  • 34', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Kanda S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', Horigome Y. 🟨,
  • 66', Takagi Y. , Okumura J. ,
  • 66', Arai T. , Akiyama H. ,
  • 66', Ono Y. , Hasegawa M. ,
  • 68', Kanda S. , Kobayashi Y. ,
  • 68', Marcinho , Miyagi T. ,
  • 79', Jesiel , Maruyama Y. ,
  • 79', Kawahara S. , Tachibanada K. ,
  • 85', Taniguchi K. , Yamura K. ,
  • 85', Danilo Gomes , Ota S. ,
  • 88', Wakizaka Y. , Ozeki Y. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 0, Ozeki Y. , Ito T. (A),
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, Okumura J. ,
  • 90+10', Yamamoto Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kawasaki Frontale
54.6%
Draw
24.7%
Albirex Niigata
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 25.4% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7% 24.6% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.91)
    3.81
    (3.76)
    4.51
    (3.91)
    5.6%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Kawasaki (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.69%96.41%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 1.
    • Kawasaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Niigata has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Kawasaki is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 2.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 0:2
    09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1
    27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 5:1
    22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1
    29.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 2:3
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball, ZhiBo8
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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