Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
20.6%
Draw
25%
Kawasaki Frontale
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 22.8% 54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 18.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The chances for Kawasaki Frontale have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kawasaki Frontale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.34
    (4.05)
    3.75
    (4.05)
    1.7
    (1.7)
    8.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.
    • Niigata is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kawasaki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Kawasaki is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:38. (average 1.3:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
    25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1
    13.10.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 0:2
    09.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 4:1
    27.09.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 5:1
    22.06.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    10Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719
    20Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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