Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 12
Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (566/661)77% (361/466)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.00
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
46
Passes
86% (566/661)77% (361/466)
Long passes
45% (20/44)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
75% (167/222)72% (70/97)
Crosses
24% (4/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.61
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
64
Tackles
57% (4/7)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3435
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.000.72
Goals prevented
0.00-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Naruse S. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Watai M. , Yamada Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 71', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 72', Takagi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 74', Yamada Y. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 87', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 87', Watai M. , Nakama H. ,
  • 87', Kubo T. , Nakajima S. ,
  • 90+1', Hasegawa M. , Miguel ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
42.4%
Draw
29.9%
Albirex Niigata
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.23)
    3.14
    (3.18)
    3.42
    (3.37)
    6.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
    • Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
    • Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    30.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0
    19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 3:2
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
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