Kashiwa Reysol vs Albirex Niigata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata
Result
1:1
26/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 12
Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
86% (566/661)77% (361/466)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.55
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.00
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1916
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
46
Passes
86% (566/661)77% (361/466)
Long passes
45% (20/44)35% (23/65)
Passes in final third
75% (167/222)72% (70/97)
Crosses
24% (4/17)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.61
Throw-ins
2223
Fouls
64
Tackles
57% (4/7)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3435
Clearances
2524
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
1.000.72
Goals prevented
0.00-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Naruse S. 🟨,
  • 14', 0 - 1, Komi Y. (Pen),
  • 32', 1 - 1, Watai M. , Yamada Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Kakita Y. , Hosoya M. ,
  • 71', Okumura J. , Kasai K. ,
  • 72', Takagi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 74', Yamada Y. , Kinoshita K. ,
  • 87', Koyamatsu T. , Diego ,
  • 87', Watai M. , Nakama H. ,
  • 87', Kubo T. , Nakajima S. ,
  • 90+1', Hasegawa M. , Miguel ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Kashiwa Reysol
42.4%
Draw
29.9%
Albirex Niigata
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 29.7% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 29.4% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Albirex Niigata aligns with the current prediction.
  • Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.23)
    3.14
    (3.18)
    3.42
    (3.37)
    6.2%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 1.
    • Kashiwa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Niigata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Kashiwa have a series of guest games.
    • Kashiwa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashiwa: Harada W. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashiwa won 6 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:21 (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashiwa won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    30.03.2024 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    24.06.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 0:0
    07.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 0:0
    19.04.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 3:2
    Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
    chinaChinaQQ Sports
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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