Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka
Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 7
Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.31
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
88% (613/698)79% (363/461)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.624.55
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2628
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (613/698)79% (363/461)
Long passes
52% (24/46)31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
71% (99/140)70% (79/113)
Crosses
20% (3/15)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.39
Fouls
612
Tackles
45% (5/11)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4943
Clearances Total
2119
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
4.551.62
Goals prevented
1.55-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Jebali I. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mito R. , Lavi N. ,
  • 46', Taniguchi K. , Okumura J. ,
  • 66', Ono Y. , Yamura K. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Jebali I. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 70', Juan Alano , Toyama S. ,
  • 70', Jebali I. , Hummet D. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Okumura J. , Hashimoto K. (A),
  • 80', Kurata S. , Usami T. ,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Yamura K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 89', Chiba K. , Geria J. ,
  • 90+1', Hasegawa M. , Kasai K. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 3, Usami T. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
37.3%
Draw
29%
Gamba Osaka
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.5% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30.1% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Albirex Niigata have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.52)
    3.22
    (3.3)
    2.78
    (2.74)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:28 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    02.03.2024 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    17.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    28.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 1:3
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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