Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka
Result
3:3
29/03/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 7
Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.31
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
88% (613/698)79% (363/461)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.772.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.624.55
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
17
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2628
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (613/698)79% (363/461)
Long passes
52% (24/46)31% (15/49)
Passes in final third
71% (99/140)70% (79/113)
Crosses
20% (3/15)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.39
Fouls
612
Tackles
45% (5/11)60% (15/25)
Duels won
4943
Clearances Total
2119
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
4.551.62
Goals prevented
1.55-1.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Hasegawa M. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Jebali I. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mito R. , Lavi N. ,
  • 46', Taniguchi K. , Okumura J. ,
  • 66', Ono Y. , Yamura K. ,
  • 67', 1 - 2, Jebali I. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 70', Juan Alano , Toyama S. ,
  • 70', Jebali I. , Hummet D. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Okumura J. , Hashimoto K. (A),
  • 80', Kurata S. , Usami T. ,
  • 82', 3 - 2, Yamura K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 89', Chiba K. , Geria J. ,
  • 90+1', Hasegawa M. , Kasai K. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 3, Usami T. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
37.3%
Draw
29%
Gamba Osaka
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.3% 28.5% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 30.1% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Albirex Niigata have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.54
    (2.52)
    3.22
    (3.3)
    2.78
    (2.74)
    6.4%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:28 (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:13 (average 1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    02.03.2024 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:0
    17.09.2023 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 1:1
    28.05.2023 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 1:3
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Kyoto22115636:261038
    4Vissel Kobe21114627:21637
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima21113726:17936
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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