Alanyaspor vs Samsunspor: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Turkish Super League Alanyaspor - Samsunspor
Result
1:0
21/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
Alanyaspor - Samsunspor - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.40
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
71% (198/277)85% (447/526)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.731.80
Total shots
614
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
1320
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
911
Passes
71% (198/277)85% (447/526)
Long passes
38% (20/53)70% (62/88)
Passes in final third
54% (50/92)68% (99/146)
Crosses
33% (5/15)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.25
Fouls
119
Tackles
68% (13/19)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4242
Clearances Total
2615
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.800.73
Goals prevented
1.80-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Ozdemir Y. , Hadergjonaj F. (A),
  • 27', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
  • 32', Pereira J. 🟨,
  • 42', Hwang Ui-Jo 🟨,
  • 45+1', Vilhena T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Lima N. 🟨,
  • 55', Holse C. (Pen),
  • 58', Aliti F. 🟨,
  • 64', Richard 🟨,
  • 65', Hwang Ui-Jo , Makouta G. ,
  • 67', Yavru Z. 🟨,
  • 75', Yavru Z. , Schindler K. ,
  • 75', Tait F. , Aydogdu S. ,
  • 75', Kilinc E. , Muja A. ,
  • 75', Vilhena T. , Karaca E. ,
  • 77', Holse C. 🟨,
  • 82', Holse C. , Ozbaskici M. ,
  • 84', Hadergjonaj F. , Keskin E. ,
  • 85', Janvier N. , Balkovec J. ,
  • 87', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Alanyaspor
38.1%
Draw
30%
Samsunspor
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 23.1% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 22.5% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.
  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alanyaspor - Samsunspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (3)
    3.13
    (4.14)
    2.97
    (2.12)
    5.9%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alanyaspor - Samsunspor?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 1.
    • Alanyaspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Samsunspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Alanyaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bulut B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Bola M. (Injury) Yuksel C. (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:23 (average 1.2:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alanyaspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alanyaspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    18.05.2024 Samsunspor - Alanyaspor 1:1
    17.01.2024 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 1:3
    25.12.2023 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 3:1
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    06.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Bodrumspor 0:1
    28.03.2025 Antalyaspor - Alanyaspor 2:1
    15.03.2025 Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor 2:1
    09.03.2025 Alanyaspor - Galatasaray 1:2
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    11.04.2025 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    05.04.2025 Antalyaspor - Samsunspor 2:1
    29.03.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    03.03.2025 Göztepe - Samsunspor 2:2
    Turkish Super League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray33275184:315386
    2Fenerbahce33246384:335178
    3Besiktas331610753:332058
    4Samsunspor331761050:381257
    5Basaksehir331561255:49651
    6Eyupspor341481249:44550
    7Goztepe3312111054:411347
    8Konyaspor341371443:46-346
    9Trabzonspor3312101153:421146
    10Kasimpasa331113957:56146
    11Kayserispor3311111143:51-844
    12Antalyaspor331271436:58-2243
    13Gaziantep331261541:46-542
    14Rizespor331241739:52-1340
    15Alanyaspor331081538:48-1038
    16Bodrumspor33981624:37-1335
    17Sivasspor34981744:57-1335
    18Hatayspor ✔ 34582141:67-2623
    19Adana Demirspor ✔ 34242829:88-59-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hatayspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to 1. Lig
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