Alajuelense vs Deportivo Saprissa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Costa Rican Primera Division Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa
Result
1:0
21/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera Division - Clausura - Play Offs - Final
Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Total shots
143
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
91
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
02
Fouls
1717
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sinclair O. , Brenes J. ,
  • 60', Myrie K. , Vivi Quesada G. ,
  • 66', Acuna S. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 66', Pinar F. , Navarro J. ,
  • 72', Duarte O. 🟨,
  • 72', Torres M. 🟨,
  • 72', Gamboa A. 🟨,
  • 72', Matarrita R. 🟨,
  • 81', Perez C. , Campbell J. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Bran Flores A. J. ,
  • 90+3', Torres M. , Loria M. ,
  • 90+3', Mora J. , Guzman D. ,
  • 90+3', Lucumi J. , Villalobos Alfaro G. ,
  • 90+3', Badilla I. , Parkins R. ,
  • 90+8', Duarte O. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Alajuelense
41.3%
Draw
31.3%
Deportivo Saprissa
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 29.5% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 29.1% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alajuelense's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alajuelense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Saprissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.93)
    2.96
    (3.15)
    3.38
    (4.14)
    8%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Alajuelense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 3-3. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Alajuelense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense 3:3
    21.04.2025 Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa 1:1
    09.02.2025 Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense 1:1
    02.11.2024 Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense 3:0
    01.09.2024 Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa 1:1
    Latest results of Alajuelense
    Latest results of Deportivo Saprissa
    Draw
    Grand Final

    Final
    1AlajuelenseHerediano0 : 1, 0 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa?
    It is being streamed on channel
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