Alianza Panama vs Alajuelense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer CONCACAF League Alianza Panama - Alajuelense
25/08/2022 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Alianza Panama - Alajuelense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Alianza Panama
17.5%
Draw
23.7%
Alajuelense
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 25.1% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5% 24.7% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Alianza Panama - Alajuelense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.22
    (4.15)
    3.86
    (3.6)
    1.55
    (1.71)
    9.6%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Draw
    2022

    1/16-finals
    1TauroBye
    2MiguelitoMalacateco3 : 0, 1 : 1
    3MotaguaBye
    4ByeCibao
    5OlimpiaBye
    6MunicipalVega Real5 : 0, 4 : 0
    7DiriangenBye
    8ByeComunicaciones
    9HeredianoBye
    10Pacific FCWaterhouse6 : 0, 0 : 0
    11CartaginesBye
    12Real EspanaEsteli3 : 1, 0 : 0
    13AlianzaBye
    14AlajuelenseAguila3 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Alianza FCBye
    16Platense MunicipalVerdes2 : 2, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1TauroMiguelito1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2MotaguaCibao2 : 0, 1 : 0
    3OlimpiaMunicipal1 : 0, 2 : 2
    4DiriangenComunicaciones1 : 1, 1 : 0
    5HeredianoPacific FC1 : 1, 1 : 0
    6CartaginesReal Espana0 : 2, 0 : 2
    7AlianzaAlajuelense1 : 1, 0 : 5
    8Alianza FCVerdes5 : 1, 2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TauroMotagua0 : 1, 0 : 0
    2OlimpiaDiriangen3 : 1, 4 : 0
    3HeredianoReal Espana1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4AlajuelenseAlianza FC2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MotaguaOlimpia0 : 1, 0 : 0
    2Real EspanaAlajuelense2 : 2, 0 : 3

    Final
    1OlimpiaAlajuelense2 : 2, 3 : 2
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