Celaya vs Alacranes de Durango: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Celaya - Alacranes de Durango
Result
2:1
19/03/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11
  • Referee: Rangel E. (Mex)
Celaya - Alacranes de Durango - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Celaya
54.9%
Draw
25.3%
Alacranes de Durango
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 22.6% 12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 21.5% 11.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Celaya's form might have worsened.
  • Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alacranes de Durango's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Celaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alacranes de Durango, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Celaya - Alacranes de Durango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.38)
    3.61
    (4)
    4.64
    (7.5)
    9.3%
    (10.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Celaya - Alacranes de Durango?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Celaya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
    • Celaya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alacranes de Durango is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Celaya is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Celaya won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Celaya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Celaya - Alacranes de Durango were as follows:
    29.10.2022 Celaya - Alacranes de Durango 1:0
    26.10.2022 Alacranes de Durango - Celaya 0:1
    25.09.2022 Alacranes de Durango - Celaya 1:1
    Latest results of Celaya
    03.03.2023 Celaya - Tlaxcala 1:1
    22.02.2023 Pumas Tabasco - Celaya 0:1
    15.02.2023 Atlante - Celaya 1:0
    08.02.2023 Celaya - Dorados 4:2
    Latest results of Alacranes de Durango
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun33005:059
    2Zacatecas Mineros32106:247
    3Tampico Madero32104:227
    4Irapuato32019:546
    5Leones Negros32016:426
    6Tapatio32016:426
    7Tepatitlan de Morelos31204:225
    8Atl. Morelia21104:224
    9Dorados de Sinaloa31021:4-33
    10Correcaminos30213:4-12
    11Atlante20113:4-11
    12Atletico La Paz30122:5-31
    13Tlaxcala30121:7-61
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca20021:4-30
    15Venados30032:8-60

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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