Umm-Salal vs Al-Shamal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

13/05/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha).

: Emir Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.70
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
20	15
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
79% (332/419)	85% (514/603)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05	1.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.38	1.41
Total shots
20	15
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
14	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
11	13
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
20	42
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
15	13
Passes
79% (332/419)	85% (514/603)
Long passes
43% (31/72)	54% (45/83)
Passes in final third
61% (68/111)	75% (108/144)
Crosses
31% (8/26)	35% (9/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.45	1.37
Throw-ins
23	32
Fouls
13	15
Tackles
57% (13/23)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
61	51
Clearances
23	29
Interceptions
13	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.41	0.38
Goals prevented
0.41	-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Fayez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Sliti N. ⚽,
64', Ebrahimi O. 🟨,
70', Alawi O. ↓, Al Shammari M. ↑,
71', Yahya O. ↓, Saad K. ↑,
71', Al Sulimane A. ↓, Issa S. ↑,
81', Sliti N. ↓, Ali O. ↑,
85', Al Zereiqi K. ↓, Al Muhannadi A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Mance A. ⚽, Al Shammari M. (A),
90+3', Al Mannai M. ↓, Mohammed A. ↑,
90+3', Awad M. ↓, Waad F. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
94', Murillo J. 🟨,
99', Gorre K. ↓, Sheikh A. ↑,
101', Ali O. 🟨,
105', Ali O. 🟨,
109', Waad F. 🟨,
110', El Hannach Y. ↓, Hagana A. ↑,
111', El Rady A. ↓, Seck B. ↑,
115', Issa S. 🟨,
120', Saad K. ↓, Al Saadi A. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Bounedjah B. (Pen),
1, Al Muhannadi A. (Pen),
2, Murillo J. (Pen),
2, Lekhal V. (Pen),
3, Belhanda Y. (Pen),
3, Mance A. (Pen),
4, Waad F. (Pen),
4, Al Saadi A. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Umm-Salal
22%

Draw
23.3%

Al-Shamal
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.5%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.6%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umm-Salal's form might have worsened.

Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shamal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umm-Salal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shamal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.06)	3.95 ↑ (3.3)	1.68 ↓ (2.12)	8.8% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal?

The most likely score is 1:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 2.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of home games.
Al-Shamal could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 2.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Shamal?

Umm-Salal has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Umm-Salal?

Al-Shamal has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal were as follows:

24.01.2025 Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal 4:0

31.08.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal 1:2

16.08.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal 3:2

05.03.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal 3:4

27.12.2023 Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal 2:0

Latest results of Umm-Salal

07.05.2025 Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal 1:4 ✺

28.04.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Markhiya 2:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Arabi Doha 2:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal 0:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Shamal

07.05.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha 3:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Wakrah 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Rayyan 3:5 ✺

05.04.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Shamal 0:4 ✺

28.03.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania 3:0 ✺

Draw

2025

1/16-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Bye
2	Bye	Qatar SC
3	Al-Shahaniya	Bye
4	Al Markhiya	Al Mesaimeer	1 : 2
5	Al Rayyan	Bye
6	Al-Waab	Lusail	0 : 1
7	Al-Duhail	Bye
8	Al Sailiya	Muaither SC	1 : 0
9	Al-Gharafa	Bye
10	Bye	Al Khor
11	Al-Sadd	Bye
12	Al-Kharitiyath	Al Bidda	2 : 1
13	Al Wakra	Bye
14	Bye	Umm-Salal
15	Shamal	Bye
16	Bye	Al Arabi

1/8-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Qatar SC	1 : 0
2	Al-Shahaniya	Al Mesaimeer	2 : 0
3	Al Rayyan	Lusail	4 : 2
4	Al-Duhail	Al Sailiya	4 : 2
5	Al-Gharafa	Al Khor	2 : 1
6	Al-Sadd	Al-Kharitiyath	3 : 1
7	Al Wakra	Umm-Salal	1 : 4
8	Shamal	Al Arabi	3 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Al-Shahaniya	2 : 1
2	Al Rayyan	Al-Duhail	3 : 2
3	Al-Gharafa	Al-Sadd	3 : 2
4	Umm-Salal	Shamal	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Al Rayyan
2	Al-Gharafa	Umm-Salal

Which TV channels are streaming of Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof