Al-Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha).

: AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 4

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.50
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
84% (405/481)	77% (257/335)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
0.95	0.70
Total shots
15	6
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
8	4
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
28	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
13	15
Passes
84% (405/481)	77% (257/335)
Long passes
62% (41/66)	47% (28/60)
Passes in final third
72% (90/125)	62% (60/97)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.40
Throw-ins
14	20
Fouls
15	13
Tackles
29% (4/14)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
44	54
Clearances
17	30
Interceptions
10	14
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
0.70	0.95
Goals prevented
-1.30	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Dams M. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Mahrez R. ⚽, Millot E. (A),
40', Suhail A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Giovani ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽, Afif A. (A),
66', Millot E. ↓, Galeno ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Matheus Goncalves ⚽, Galeno (A),
70', Ibanez 🟨,
78', Mahrez R. ↓, Abu Al Shamat S. ↑,
79', Camara M. ↓, Guilherme ↑,
88', Majrashi A. 🟨,
90+5', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
90+8', Afif A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning

Al-Sadd
21.3%

Draw
22.8%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

23.6%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

23%

54.7%

Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (3.99)	4.13 ↑ (3.91)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	6.4% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.75 - Al-Ahli (1.83) (votes: 4 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Al-Ahli Jeddah will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Al-Sadd is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Ahli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
In this match, Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Ahli Jeddah?

Al-Sadd has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Jeddah won against Al-Sadd?

Al-Ahli Jeddah has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:

03.02.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:3

Latest results of Al-Sadd

30.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Rayyan 5:1 ✺

28.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Shahania 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Arabi Doha 1:3 ✺

21.10.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Sadd 3:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Al-Sadd - Umm-Salal 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah

30.10.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Riyadh 1:1 ✺

27.10.2025 Al-Batin - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:3 ✺

23.10.2025 Al-Najma - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:1 ✺

20.10.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Gharafa 4:0 ✺

17.10.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:1 ✺

AFC Champions League Table

League phase

East

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	4	3	0	1	8:4	4	9
2	Johor DT	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
4	Ulsan HD	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
5	Gangwon	4	2	0	2	6:6	0	6
6	Buriram	4	2	0	2	5:6	-1	6
7	Melbourne City	4	2	0	2	4:5	-1	6
8	Seoul	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
9	Machida	4	1	2	1	4:3	1	5
10	Shanghai Shenhua	4	1	1	2	5:6	-1	4
11	Chengdu Rongcheng	4	1	1	2	2:4	-2	4
12	Shanghai Port	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

West

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Hilal	4	4	0	0	10:5	5	12
2	Al Ahli SC	4	3	1	0	12:5	7	10
3	Al Wahda	4	3	1	0	7:3	4	10
4	Tractor	4	2	2	0	7:1	6	8
5	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	4	2	1	1	7:6	1	7
6	Al Ittihad	4	2	0	2	8:4	4	6
7	Al-Duhail	4	1	1	2	8:8	0	4
8	Al Sharjah	4	1	1	2	5:12	-7	4
9	Al-Gharafa	4	1	0	3	6:10	-4	3
10	Al-Sadd	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
11	Al Shorta	4	0	1	3	2:8	-6	1
12	Nasaf Qarshi	4	0	0	4	6:13	-7	0

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Jeddah?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 1 Baltic