Al-Riyadh vs Al-Shabab Riyadh: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/05/2025 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium (Riyadh).

: Saudi Professional League - Round 32

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	2.43
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
2	7
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
86% (352/407)	89% (396/447)
Yellow Cards
7	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37	2.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	3.65
Total shots
12	13
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
22	31
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
18	8
Passes
86% (352/407)	89% (396/447)
Long passes
49% (25/51)	57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
77% (64/83)	73% (93/127)
Crosses
9% (1/11)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	1.88
Throw-ins
14	17
Fouls
8	18
Tackles
61% (11/18)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
44	32
Clearances
23	15
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
xGOT faced
3.65	1.04
Goals prevented
0.65	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Al Juwayr M. ⚽, Carrasco Y. (A),
28', Hoedt W. 🟨,
29', 1 - 1, Mensah B. (Pen),
32', Asiri A. 🟨,
39', Al Shwirekh M. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Camara H. ⚽, Podence D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lega S. ↓, Al Shehri Y. ↑,
55', Zaydan S. 🟨,
63', Bayesh I. 🟨,
65', Al Hawsawi N. 🟨,
67', Camara H. ↓, Bonaventura G. ↑,
73', Al Hawsawi N. ↓, Al Nuweqi H. ↑,
73', Zaydan S. ↓, Al Abed N. ↑,
76', Bonaventura G. 🟨,
76', Toze 🟨,
77', Mensah B. 🟨,
87', Asiri A. ↓, Haji T. ↑,
89', Podence D. ↓, Al Dubais H. ↑,
90', Al Juwayr M. ↓, Al Saadi N. ↑,
90+1', Borjan M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Guanca C. ⚽, Hoedt W. (A),
90+5', Kamara G. ↓, Kanabah M. ↑,
90+5', Al Sharari N. ↓, Harbush M. ↑,
90+6', Robert Renan 🟨,

Chances of winning

Al-Riyadh
23%

Draw
22.5%

Al-Shabab Riyadh
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.4%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.6%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Riyadh than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.06 ↑ (3.6)	4.16 ↑ (3.95)	1.73 ↓ (1.81)	6.6% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?

The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is Al-Shabab Riyadh will win! (9 of 11 users predict this).

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
Al-Riyadh is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Al-Shabab's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Al-Shabab is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Riyadh won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Riyadh won against Al-Shabab Riyadh?

Al-Riyadh has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shabab Riyadh won against Al-Riyadh?

Al-Shabab Riyadh has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:

15.01.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1

28.10.2024 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 0:2

03.04.2024 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 1:0

05.10.2023 Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2

Latest results of Al-Riyadh

10.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Riyadh 1:2 ✺

01.05.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al-Orobah 2:4 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Riyadh - Al Fateh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Riyadh 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Riyadh 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh

11.05.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:1 ✺

01.05.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:2 ✺

17.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al Akhdoud 0:0 ✺

10.04.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Kholood 2:0 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ittihad ✔	32	24	5	3	75:33	42	77
2	Al Hilal	32	22	5	5	92:40	52	71
3	Al Qadisiya	32	20	5	7	50:28	22	65
4	Al Nassr	32	19	7	6	74:37	37	64
5	Al Ahli SC	32	20	4	8	67:33	34	64
6	Al Shabab	32	17	6	9	61:38	23	57
7	Al Ettifaq	32	12	8	12	39:43	-4	44
8	Al Taawon	32	11	9	12	35:34	1	42
9	Al Riyadh	32	10	8	14	35:48	-13	38
10	Al Khaleej	32	10	7	15	38:52	-14	37
11	Al Fayha	32	8	12	12	27:45	-18	36
12	Damac	32	9	8	15	37:48	-11	35
13	Al Kholood	32	10	4	18	38:63	-25	34
14	Al Fateh	32	9	6	17	43:59	-16	33
15	Al Wehda	32	9	5	18	40:64	-24	32
16	Al Orubah	32	9	3	20	29:67	-38	30
17	Al Okhdood	32	7	7	18	29:54	-25	28
18	Al Raed ✔	32	6	3	23	40:63	-23	21

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Al Ittihad is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Raed is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now