Al-Hilal vs Al-Nassr Riyadh: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Saudi Professional League Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh
Result
1:3
04/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Saudi Professional League - Round 26
Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.35
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
83% (329/396)75% (209/279)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.512.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.372.85
Total shots
1617
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
75
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2737
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
712
Passes
83% (329/396)75% (209/279)
Long passes
50% (24/48)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
72% (88/122)60% (63/105)
Crosses
28% (7/25)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.851.25
Fouls
127
Tackles
77% (10/13)74% (14/19)
Duels won
4149
Clearances Total
1826
Interceptions
1812
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.851.37
Goals prevented
-0.150.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Al Hassan A. , Brozovic M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Ronaldo C. , Mane S. (A),
  • 53', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 62', Yahya A. , Otavio ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Al Bulayhi A. , Milinkovic-Savic S. (A),
  • 65', Al Yami H. , Al Shahrani Y. ,
  • 65', Neves R. , Marcos Leonardo ,
  • 70', Lajami A. , Laporte A. ,
  • 77', Al Najdi S. , Qasheesh M. ,
  • 82', Lodi R. , Al Harbi M. ,
  • 82', Kanno M. , Al Dawsari N. ,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Ronaldo C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal 47.7%Draw 23.5%Al-Nassr Riyadh 28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Al-Hilal 54.4%Draw 21.3%Al-Nassr Riyadh 24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Al-Hilal 55.4%Draw 20.9%Al-Nassr Riyadh 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Hilal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Nassr Riyadh than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.72)
    3.93
    (4.4)
    3.26
    (3.86)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and Saudi Professional League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
  • What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is Al-Hilal will win! (10 of 12 users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Al-Hilal will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 38:22 (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    17.08.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:4
    31.05.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1
    17.05.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal 1:1
    08.04.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    15.03.2025 Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal 0:2
    11.03.2025 Al-Hilal - Pakhtakor 4:0
    07.03.2025 Al-Feiha - Al-Hilal 0:2
    04.03.2025 Pakhtakor - Al-Hilal 1:0
    28.02.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ittihad30225369:323771
    2Al Hilal30205584:374765
    3Al Ahli SC30194762:293361
    4Al Nassr30186664:362860
    5Al Qadisiya30185746:271959
    6Al Shabab30156955:361951
    7Al Ettifaq301271139:42-343
    8Al Taawon301181134:32241
    9Al Riyadh30981332:44-1235
    10Al Khaleej30971435:49-1434
    11Al Fateh30961540:54-1433
    12Al Fayha307121125:42-1733
    13Damac30871536:48-1231
    14Al Kholood30941736:59-2331
    15Al Orubah30931828:61-3330
    16Al Wehda30851738:61-2329
    17Al Okhdood30771629:43-1428
    18Al Raed30632139:59-2021

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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