Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Saudi Super Cup Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah
Result
2:3 penalties
23/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Cup - Final
Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.15
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
82% (290/354)73% (153/210)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.721.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.221.48
Total shots
128
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
108
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1827
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
129
Passes
82% (290/354)73% (153/210)
Long passes
43% (15/35)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
66% (61/93)63% (46/73)
Crosses
31% (4/13)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.81
Throw-ins
1514
Fouls
913
Tackles
42% (5/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4842
Clearances
2615
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.482.22
Goals prevented
-0.520.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Toney I. 🟨,
  • 30', Wesley 🟨,
  • 39', Kessie F. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 0, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Kessie F. , Millot E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', Demiral M. 🟨,
  • 53', Brozovic M. 🟨,
  • 74', Dams M. 🟨,
  • 78', Wesley , Al Ghannam S. ,
  • 78', Dams M. , Yaslam S. ,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Brozovic M. ,
  • 86', Yahya A. , Angelo ,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Ibanez , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 90+3', Boushal N. 🟨,
  • Penalties (3 - 5)
  • 1, Toney I. (Pen),
  • 1, Ronaldo C. (Pen),
  • 2, Kessie F. (Pen),
  • 2, Brozovic M. (Pen),
  • 3, Mahrez R. (Pen),
  • 3, Joao Felix (Pen),
  • 4, Al Buraikan F. (Pen),
  • 4, Al Khaibari A. (Pen),
  • 5, Galeno (Pen),

Chances of winning


Al-Nassr Riyadh
42.9%
Draw
24.9%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 25.6% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nassr Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Nassr Riyadh's performance.
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ahli Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.78)
    3.7
    (3.79)
    2.86
    (2.46)
    8.5%
    (3.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Al-Ahli (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Nassr Riyadh will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Hong Kong Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 3.
    • Al-Ahli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Al-Ahli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nassr won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
    13.02.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 2:3
    13.09.2024 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 1:1
    15.03.2024 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh 0:1
    22.09.2023 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah 4:3
    Latest results of Al-Nassr Riyadh
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    02.08.2025 Dordrecht - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:3
    01.08.2025 Elche - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:2
    26.07.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Celtic 1:1
    23.07.2025 Como - Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    Semi-finals
    1Al IttihadAl Nassr1 : 2
    2Al Ahli SCAl Qadisiya5 : 1

    Final
    1Al NassrAl Ahli SC2 : 3
    Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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