Al Ain vs Al-Jazira: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Result
1:1

04/05/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium (Al Ain).

: UAE League - Round 23

Al Ain - Al-Jazira - Gamble Responsibly 18+

00:00 / 90:00

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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	0.53
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
85% (356/417)	79% (254/322)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.41
Total shots
14	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
10	1
Shots outside the Box
4	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
24	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
85% (356/417)	79% (254/322)
Long passes
52% (25/48)	50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
75% (100/133)	66% (71/107)
Crosses
29% (8/28)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.48	0.58
Throw-ins
18	12
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
90% (9/10)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
40	47
Clearances
6	32
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.41	1.32
Goals prevented
-0.59	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Fekir N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Nader Y. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Rahimi S. ⚽,
75', Rabii M. ↓, Al Zaabi Z. ↑,
75', Bruno ↓, Akonnor R. ↑,
75', Vukic N. ↓, Geusens J. ↑,
78', Kaku ↓, Segovia M. ↑,
85', Nader Y. ↓, Abbas M. ↑,
85', Palacios M. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
90+6', Chadli N. ↓, Traore O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Ain
55.6%

Draw
22.5%

Al-Jazira
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

22.9%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

22.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Ain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Al-Jazira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ain than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Jazira than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Al Ain - Al-Jazira Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	4.13 ↑ (4)	4.23 ↑ (3.84)	7.9% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Al Jazira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Al Jazira has had a series of home games.
In this match, Al Ain is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ain won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Al Ain won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ain - Al-Jazira were as follows:

25.01.2025 Al Ain - Al-Jazira 0:1

30.12.2024 Al-Jazira - Al Ain 4:2

22.12.2024 Al Ain - Al-Jazira 1:0

15.12.2024 Al-Jazira - Al Ain 1:3

02.06.2024 Al-Jazira - Al Ain 2:1

Latest results of Al Ain

22.04.2025 Bani Yas - Al Ain 0:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Al Ain - Al Urooba 3:0 ✺

07.04.2025 Shabab Al-Ahli - Al Ain 0:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Dibba Al-Hisn - Al Ain 3:2 ✺

20.03.2025 Al Ain - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Jazira

27.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Al-Sharjah 1:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Ittihad Kalba 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli 2:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Ajman Club - Al-Jazira 1:1 ✺

07.04.2025 Al-Jazira - Al Wasl 0:5 ✺

UAE Football League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai	26	19	6	1	57:22	35	63
2	Al Sharjah	26	16	3	7	44:22	22	51
3	Al Wahda	26	13	9	4	51:32	19	48
4	Al Wasl	26	13	7	6	51:35	16	46
5	Al Ain	26	12	8	6	56:32	24	44
6	Al Nasr	26	11	5	10	45:45	0	38
7	Al Jazira	26	10	7	9	45:40	5	37
8	Khorfakkan	26	9	6	11	41:52	-11	33
9	Ittihad Kalba	26	8	8	10	39:38	1	32
10	Ajman	26	9	4	13	40:46	-6	31
11	Al Bataeh	26	7	6	13	30:45	-15	27
12	Bani Yas	26	7	6	13	30:53	-23	27
13	Dibba Al Hisn	26	4	4	18	29:56	-27	16
14	Al Urooba	26	4	1	21	24:64	-40	13

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al Ain - Al-Jazira?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, ADtv
World	Triller TV+