Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli Jeddah: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer AFC Champions League Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah
Result
1:3
29/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.66
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
422
Shots on target
17
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
72% (207/286)67% (160/238)
Yellow Cards
73
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.592.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.603.41
Total shots
422
Shots on target
17
Shots off target
211
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
319
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
940
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
1121
Passes
72% (207/286)67% (160/238)
Long passes
42% (28/66)45% (32/71)
Passes in final third
56% (40/71)63% (66/105)
Crosses
40% (4/10)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.251.54
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
2111
Tackles
60% (6/10)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4159
Clearances
2523
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
40
xGOT faced
3.410.60
Goals prevented
0.68-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 1', Alioski E. 🟨,
  • 5', Majrashi A. 🟨,
  • 9', 0 - 1, Roberto Firmino , Galeno (A),
  • 28', 0 - 2, Toney I. , Mahrez R. (A),
  • 42', 1 - 2, Al Dawsari S. ,
  • 45+6', Demiral M. 🟨,
  • 45+9', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', Al Shahrani Y. , Al Yami H. ,
  • 59', Marcos Leonardo , Kaio Cesar ,
  • 59', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
  • 68', Kaio Cesar , Tambakti H. ,
  • 78', Mitrovic A. 🟨,
  • 79', Al Dawsari S. 🟨,
  • 84', Al Yami H. 🟨,
  • 86', Kessie F. (Pen),
  • 87', Neves R. 🟨,
  • 88', Majrashi A. , Sulaiman M. ,
  • 90+7', Roberto Firmino , Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, Al Buraikan F. ,
  • 90+10', Bono 🟨,
  • 90+11', Galeno , Veiga G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Hilal
38.7%
Draw
24.9%
Al-Ahli Jeddah
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 23.8% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 26.3% 18.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Hilal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Hilal's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (+22.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Hilal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-17.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (1.72)
    3.77
    (4)
    2.59
    (4.61)
    6.3%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 4.
    • Recent matches Al-Hilal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Al-Ahli is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Al-Hilal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Al-Hilal have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Hilal won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37:21 (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al-Hilal won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 26:13 (average 2.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:3
    05.10.2024 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal 1:2
    13.08.2024 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 2:1
    06.05.2024 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal 1:2
    27.10.2023 Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah 3:1
    Latest results of Al-Hilal
    25.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Gwangju 7:0
    17.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Khaleej 3:0
    04.04.2025 Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:3
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Jeddah
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Pakhtakor (8)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Gwangju FC (4)Vissel Kobe (5)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al Rayyan (7)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Johor DT (3)Buriram (6)0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Shanghai Port (8)4 : 1, 1 : 0
    6Al Nassr (3)Esteghlal F.C. (6)3 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Kawasaki Frontale (2)Shanghai Shenhua (7)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Al-Sadd (4)Al Wasl (5)3 : 1, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Gwangju FC (4)7 : 0
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Buriram (6)3 : 0
    3Yokohama F. Marinos (1)Al Nassr (3)1 : 4
    4Kawasaki Frontale (2)Al-Sadd (4)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 3
    2Al Nassr (3)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 3

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Kawasaki Frontale (2)2 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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