Al-Gharafa vs Umm-Salal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Qatar Emir Cup Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal
Result
4:2
19/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Emir Cup - Semi-finals
Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.360.66
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
279
Shots on target
134
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
86% (416/486)76% (219/289)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
4.360.66
xG on target (xGOT)
4.440.33
Total shots
279
Shots on target
134
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
215
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
4313
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
86% (416/486)76% (219/289)
Long passes
67% (47/70)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
64% (74/115)52% (40/77)
Crosses
44% (11/25)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
2.180.62
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1118
Tackles
70% (14/20)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5737
Clearances
1719
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
29
xGOT faced
0.334.44
Goals prevented
-0.670.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Alawi O. , Mance A. (A),
  • 23', 0 - 2, Gunnarsson A. (Own goal),
  • 35', Traore D. , Muntari M. ,
  • 40', 1 - 2, Joselu ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Muntari M. , Gunnarsson A. (A),
  • 45+12', Louadni M. 🟨,
  • 45+14', 3 - 2, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
  • 45+15', Al Bakri A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Joselu 🟨,
  • 52', 4 - 2, Muntari M. ,
  • 61', Yahya O. , Al Shammari M. ,
  • 61', Alawi O. , Issa S. ,
  • 61', Al Sulimane A. , Saad K. ,
  • 71', Joselu , Yousif A. ,
  • 74', Al Zereiqi K. , Al Muhannadi A. ,
  • 77', Diaz F. 🟨,
  • 85', Fayez A. , Sheikh A. ,
  • 86', Diaz F. , Madibo A. O. ,
  • 90+1', Muntari M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
60.5%
Draw
21.8%
Umm-Salal
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.1% 20.8% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 20.3% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Umm-Salal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.45)
    4.19
    (4.33)
    5.15
    (5.24)
    9.6%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal?
    The most likely score is 2:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 3.
    • Recent performances by Al-Gharafa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Umm-Salal is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa 0:1
    18.10.2024 Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal 3:1
    05.10.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa 5:0
    14.05.2024 Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa 2:4
    07.04.2024 Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    14.05.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd 3:2
    06.05.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor 2:1
    23.04.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 1:0
    18.04.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania 1:2
    11.04.2025 Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa 1:1
    Latest results of Umm-Salal
    13.05.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Shamal 2:1
    07.05.2025 Al-Wakrah - Umm-Salal 1:4
    28.04.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Markhiya 2:1
    18.04.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Arabi Doha 2:0
    11.04.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal 0:1
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Al Ahli DohaBye
    2ByeQatar SC
    3Al-ShahaniyaBye
    4Al MarkhiyaAl Mesaimeer1 : 2
    5Al RayyanBye
    6Al-WaabLusail0 : 1
    7Al-DuhailBye
    8Al SailiyaMuaither SC1 : 0
    9Al-GharafaBye
    10ByeAl Khor
    11Al-SaddBye
    12Al-KharitiyathAl Bidda2 : 1
    13Al WakraBye
    14ByeUmm-Salal
    15ShamalBye
    16ByeAl Arabi

    1/8-finals
    1Al Ahli DohaQatar SC1 : 0
    2Al-ShahaniyaAl Mesaimeer2 : 0
    3Al RayyanLusail4 : 2
    4Al-DuhailAl Sailiya4 : 2
    5Al-GharafaAl Khor2 : 1
    6Al-SaddAl-Kharitiyath3 : 1
    7Al WakraUmm-Salal1 : 4
    8ShamalAl Arabi3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Al Ahli DohaAl-Shahaniya2 : 1
    2Al RayyanAl-Duhail3 : 2
    3Al-GharafaAl-Sadd3 : 2
    4Umm-SalalShamal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Al Ahli DohaAl Rayyan0 : 3
    2Al-GharafaUmm-Salal4 : 2

    Final
    1Al RayyanAl-Gharafa1 : 2
    Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Gharafa - Umm-Salal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
    qatarQatarAl Kass One, Shoof
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