Al-Wakrah vs Al-Gharafa: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Qatar QSL Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa
Result
1:1
11/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : QSL - Round 21
  • Referee: Al Mazyed M. (Qat)
Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
915
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
82% (344/419)87% (342/393)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.35
xG on target (xGOT)
0.411.17
Total shots
915
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
1519
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
99
Passes
82% (344/419)87% (342/393)
Long passes
55% (27/49)55% (16/29)
Passes in final third
63% (62/98)77% (80/104)
Crosses
15% (2/13)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.44
Fouls
99
Tackles
77% (17/22)83% (15/18)
Duels won
4545
Clearances Total
1826
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.170.41
Goals prevented
0.17-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Boulaya F. ,
  • 26', Yousif A. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Brahimi Y. , Sassi F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
  • 65', Salah O. , Gannan S. ,
  • 70', Madibo A. O. , Boussafi R. ,
  • 70', Fadlalla S. , Sano S. ,
  • 79', Mohammed K. , Muneer K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Wakrah
24.8%
Draw
24.3%
Al-Gharafa
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 27.3% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 27.1% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Wakrah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wakrah than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (3.21)
    3.8
    (3.4)
    1.81
    (2.12)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Wakrah (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Al-Gharafa will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Wakrah won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Al-Gharafa will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Al-Wakrah won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 30:36 (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Al-Wakrah won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:20 (average 2.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
    22.11.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 3:1
    06.09.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 0:3
    24.04.2024 Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa 2:4
    02.12.2023 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 1:1
    09.08.2023 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 1:0
    Latest results of Al-Wakrah
    04.04.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah 0:1
    29.03.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Wakrah 3:0
    08.03.2025 Al-Wakrah - Qatar SC 1:1
    27.02.2025 Al-Khor - Al-Wakrah 1:3
    23.02.2025 Al-Wakrah - Al-Rayyan 0:4
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    04.04.2025 Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa 1:3
    29.03.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al Duhail 0:2
    07.03.2025 Umm-Salal - Al-Gharafa 0:1
    27.02.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd 0:4
    22.02.2025 Al-Gharafa - Qatar SC 4:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Umm-SalalAl Markhiya2 : 1
    Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
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