Result
1:0
22/12/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- : AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (244/310) | 81% (366/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (244/310) | 81% (366/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/64) | 27% (11/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (52/76) | 64% (68/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Traore D. 🟨,
- 44', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hamed J. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 48', Sano S. 🟨,
- 52', Al Shamsi M. 🟥,
- 57', Brahimi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Traore D. 🟨,
- 63', Coman F. ↓, Joselu ↑,
- 66', Caio Canedo ↓, Ghorbani M. ↑,
- 75', Kruspzky F. ↓, Lazovic D. ↑,
- 75', Jadsom ↓, Khribin O. M. ↑,
- 85', Tadic D. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 0, Sano S. ⚽, Gunnarsson A. (A),
- 87', Djalo A. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 88', Khalifa A. B. 🟨,
- 90+1', Brahimi Y. ↓, Al-Ali R. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa 25.4% | Draw 24.8% | Al-Wahda 49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Al-Wahda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.67 ↑ (3.34) |
3.76 ↓ (3.77) |
1.88 ↓ (1.99) |
7.1% (6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda?
- Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Wahda will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Wahda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Al-Wahda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Wahda is seen as the favorite.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Wahda?
Al-Gharafa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wahda won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Wahda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Wahda
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Machida ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Melbourne City ✔ | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Buriram | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Seoul | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Johor DT | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal ✔ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC ✔ | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor ✔ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Al Wahda ✔ | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18:8 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Russia | TV Start |
Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
Vietnam | K+ Action, K+, TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |