Al-Khaleej vs Al Akhdoud: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Saudi Professional League Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud
Result
2:3
26/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Saudi Professional League - Round 34
Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.49
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
823
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
311
Passes
87% (464/532)83% (278/334)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.782.49
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.66
Total shots
823
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
311
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
617
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
311
Touches in opposition box
1945
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
87% (464/532)83% (278/334)
Long passes
62% (39/63)52% (27/52)
Passes in final third
72% (107/149)72% (78/109)
Crosses
21% (3/14)33% (11/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.582.11
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
1516
Tackles
67% (10/15)89% (16/18)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
2513
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.661.50
Goals prevented
-1.34-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Murg T. , Aboulshamat S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Fortounis K. , Aboulshamat S. (A),
  • 53', Hamzi M. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Fortounis K. , Aboulshamat S. (A),
  • 62', Al Hatila A. , Al Abbas S. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Al Qaydhi M. , Musona K. (A),
  • 72', Martins F. , Al Hawsawi M. ,
  • 72', Al Salem A. , Sherif M. ,
  • 72', Rebocho P. , Nasser B. ,
  • 75', Musona K. , Al Zubaidi Y. ,
  • 83', Hamzi M. , Al Samiri K. ,
  • 84', Al Saeed M. , Salem S. ,
  • 85', Pato , Al Zabdani H. ,
  • 85', Khamis A. , Al Jahif M. ,
  • 88', Al Zabdani H. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Al Samiri K. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Al Abbas S. , Saviour G. (A),
  • 90+15', 2 - 3, Al Jahif M. (Pen),
  • 90+15', Al Jahif M. 🟨,
  • 90+17', Al Zubaidi Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Khaleej
28.9%
Draw
26.5%
Al Akhdoud
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 27.1% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 25.8% 36.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Khaleej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Khaleej's form might have worsened.
  • Al Akhdoud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Akhdoud's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Khaleej than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Khaleej, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.7)
    3.48
    (3.43)
    2.09
    (2.41)
    7.3%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?
  • Users Predictions: Al Akhdoud will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Akhdoud will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
    • Recent form of Al-Khaleej has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al Akhdoud's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al Akhdoud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Al Akhdoud might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Khaleej won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Khaleej won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 1:2
    14.03.2024 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 2:2
    22.09.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Khaleej
    16.05.2025 Al-Orobah - Al-Khaleej 1:2
    10.05.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Riyadh 1:2
    23.04.2025 Al-Khaleej - Al-Qadisiya 1:1
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    22.05.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al Raed 1:0
    17.05.2025 Al-Feiha - Al Akhdoud 2:0
    23.04.2025 Al-Kholood - Al Akhdoud 0:1
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ittihad34265379:354483
    2Al Hilal34236595:415475
    3Al Nassr34217680:384270
    4Al Qadisiya34215853:312268
    5Al Ahli SC34214969:363367
    6Al Shabab341861065:412460
    7Al Ettifaq341481244:45-150
    8Al Taawon341291340:39145
    9Al Kholood341241842:64-2240
    10Al Fateh341161747:61-1439
    11Al Riyadh341081637:52-1538
    12Al Khaleej341071740:57-1737
    13Al Fayha348121427:49-2236
    14Damac34981737:50-1335
    15Al Okhdood34971833:56-2334
    16Al Wehda34961942:67-2533
    17Al Orubah34932231:74-4330
    18Al Raed34632541:66-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaGOBX Arabic
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    chinaChinaZhiBo8
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
    south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
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