Al Akhdoud vs Al Fateh: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/02/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City (Najran).

SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Professional League - Round 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	3.33
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
12	20
Shots on Goal
4	8
Shots off Goal
6	6
Blocked Shots
2	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
4	8
Shots inside the Box
7	14
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
Free Kicks
15	13
Offsides
2	2
Fouls
13	15
Yellow Cards
4	1
Throw-ins
25	23
Touches in the Opposition Box
22	26
Passes
74% (242/326)	78% (225/290)
Passes in the final third
57% (63/110)	59% (48/82)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	40% (6/15)
Tackles
64% (16/25)	50% (11/22)
Clearances Total
20	24
Interceptions
9	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Djaniny ⚽, Al Zaid S. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Musona K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Khamis A. ↓, Al Zabdani H. ↑,
47', Al Rubaie S. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Bendebka S. (Pen),
51', Al Qaydhi M. 🟨,
59', Musona K. 🟨,
65', Bassogog C. ↓, Saviour G. ↑,
65', Pedroza J. ↓, Hawsawi G. ↑,
66', Djaniny ↓, Machado M. ↑,
81', Hawsawi G. 🟨,
82', 1 - 3, Batna M. (Pen),
84', Musona K. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
84', Al Zubaidi Y. ↓, Al Abbas S. ↑,
89', Al Zarie H. ↓, Al Dohaim A. ↑,
89', Batna M. ↓, Qasim H. ↑,
89', Al Aqidi N. 🟨,
90+4', Baattia S. ↓, Al Julaydan A. ↑,
90+4', Vargas M. ↓, Al Othman O. ↑,

Chances of winning

Al Akhdoud
31.4%

Draw
28%

Al Fateh
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Akhdoud's form might have worsened.

Al Fateh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Fateh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Akhdoud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Fateh than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Fateh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.45)	3.31 ↓ (3.4)	2.28 ↓ (2.75)	8% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Al Akhdoud has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Al Fateh is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Al Akhdoud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Al Akhdoud won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Al Fateh?

Al Akhdoud has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al Fateh won against Al Akhdoud?

Al Fateh has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh were as follows:

28.09.2024 Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud 2:4

30.12.2023 Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud 0:0

27.09.2023 Al Fateh - Al Akhdoud 3:1

18.08.2023 Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh 1:3

Latest results of Al Akhdoud

21.02.2025 Al-Qadisiya - Al Akhdoud 2:0 ✺

13.02.2025 Al Akhdoud - Damac 0:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq Dammam 0:2 ✺

31.01.2025 Al-Hilal - Al Akhdoud 4:0 ✺

26.01.2025 Al Akhdoud - Al-Khaleej 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Al Fateh

20.02.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Orobah 1:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al Fateh 1:2 ✺

07.02.2025 Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Fateh 2:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Al Fateh - Al-Qadisiya 1:1 ✺

26.01.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al Fateh 3:1 ✺

Saudi Professional League Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Al Ittihad ✔	32	24	5	3	75:33	42	77
2	Al Hilal	32	22	5	5	92:40	52	71
3	Al Qadisiya	32	20	5	7	50:28	22	65
4	Al Nassr	32	19	7	6	74:37	37	64
5	Al Ahli SC	32	20	4	8	67:33	34	64
6	Al Shabab	32	17	6	9	61:38	23	57
7	Al Ettifaq	32	12	8	12	39:43	-4	44
8	Al Taawon	32	11	9	12	35:34	1	42
9	Al Riyadh	32	10	8	14	35:48	-13	38
10	Al Khaleej	32	10	7	15	38:52	-14	37
11	Al Fayha	32	8	12	12	27:45	-18	36
12	Damac	32	9	8	15	37:48	-11	35
13	Al Kholood	32	10	4	18	38:63	-25	34
14	Al Fateh	32	9	6	17	43:59	-16	33
15	Al Wehda	32	9	5	18	40:64	-24	32
16	Al Orubah	32	9	3	20	29:67	-38	30
17	Al Okhdood	32	7	7	18	29:54	-25	28
18	Al Raed ✔	32	6	3	23	40:63	-23	21

Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1

Clinched Spots for Teams

Al Ittihad is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Al Raed is Relegated to Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Al Akhdoud - Al Fateh?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Asia	GOBX Arabic
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now