Orenburg vs Akhmat Grozny: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Russian Cup Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny
13/08/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 2
Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Orenburg
27.3%
Draw
28%
Akhmat Grozny
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.1% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 29.7% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orenburg's form might have worsened.
  • Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Akhmat Grozny's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Akhmat Grozny, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (2.76)
    3.48
    (3.37)
    2.18
    (2.77)
    2.8%
    (2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Akhmat will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0
    28.07.2024 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 0:0
    04.04.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 0:1
    20.02.2024 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    26.11.2023 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 1:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    10.08.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 0:1
    31.07.2025 Rubin Kazan - Orenburg 2:0
    21.07.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit220005:16
    2Rubin Kazan210012:33
    3Akhmat Grozny100011:20
    4Orenburg100010:20


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Moscow110003:23
    2Krylya Sovetov110002:13
    3Krasnodar100011:20
    4Sochi100012:30


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala211002:15
    2Spartak Moscow210103:14
    3Pari NN100010:10
    4FK Rostov100010:20


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1Akron Togliatti211003:25
    2CSKA Moscow210103:24
    3Baltika100011:20
    4Lokomotiv Moscow100011:20

          Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV
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