Result
2:2
22/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Tselovalnikov V. (Rus)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
90% (436/486) | 80% (214/267) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.90 | 0.53 |
Total shots |
---|
20 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
90% (436/486) | 80% (214/267) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (20/36) | 44% (22/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
82% (130/159) | 63% (50/80) |
Crosses |
---|
35% (7/20) | 40% (4/10) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.14 | 0.44 |
Throw-ins |
---|
11 | 22 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (8/11) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
---|
36 | 30 |
Clearances |
---|
22 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 6 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.53 | 2.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.47 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Thompson J. ⚽, Rybchinskiy D. (A),
- 5', Cacintura E. 🟥,
- 18', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
- 28', 🟨,
- 35', Oganesyan S. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Thompson J. ⚽, Kvekveskiri I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Keliano M. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
- 46', Chichinadze A. ↓, Tataev A. ↑,
- 46', Oganesyan S. ↓, Vedernikov D. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Silva I. ⚽, Sadulaev L. (A),
- 56', 2 - 2, Sidorov M. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 62', Konate M. ↓, Melkadze G. ↑,
- 62', Kamilov V. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 63', Sadulaev L. 🟥,
- 64', Moufi F. 🟨,
- 70', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 76', Khotulev D. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 81', Thompson J. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orenburg 29.4% | Draw 27.7% | Akhmat Grozny 42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Akhmat Grozny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↓ (3.35) |
3.47 ↑ (3.2) |
2.24 ↑ (2.16) |
4% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Akhmat will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:29. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akhmat Grozny?
Orenburg has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Orenburg?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
13.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
08.12.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
1:0
28.07.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:0
04.04.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Orenburg
0:1
20.02.2024
Orenburg
-
Akhmat Grozny
2:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Krasnodar | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 14 | 16 |
2 | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 15 |
3 | Baltika | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 18:11 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Zenit | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
8 | Krylya Sovetov | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
9 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
10 | Dynamo Moscow | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Akhmat Grozny | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Orenburg | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
14 | FK Rostov | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
15 | Pari NN | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
16 | Sochi | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
Which TV channels are streaming of Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |