Akhmat Grozny vs Orenburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj).

: Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 5

Match Stats


Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
2	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
9	3
Corner Kicks
5	5
Free Kicks
16	13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Silva I. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
56', Konate M. ↓, Cacintura E. ↑,
56', Mansilla B. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,
57', Ignatjev I. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
57', Minatulaev O. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
65', Utsiev R. ↓, Bogosavac M. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Poroykov S. ⚽,
79', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Oganesyan S. ↑,
84', Ibishev T. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
86', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Akhmat Grozny
58.9%

Draw
23.3%

Orenburg
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.8%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.74)	4.11 ↑ (3.95)	5.37 ↑ (5.17)	4.4% (2.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akhmat (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 1.
Akhmat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Orenburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Akhmat is the team to beat.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Orenburg?

Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akhmat Grozny?

Orenburg has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg were as follows:

22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2

13.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:1

08.12.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0

28.07.2024 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 0:0

04.04.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 0:1

Latest results of Akhmat Grozny

27.09.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Akron Tolyatti 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Pari NN - Akhmat Grozny 1:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Zenit - Akhmat Grozny 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Rostov - Akhmat Grozny 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Orenburg

27.09.2025 Zenit - Orenburg 5:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 1:3 ✺

16.09.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 3:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2 ✺

Draw

Regions Path

1/32-finals

1	SKA Khabarovsk	Bye
8	Bye	Rodina Moscow
9	Ulan Ude	Irkutsk	0 : 8
10	Bye	Sibir Novosibirsk
11	Anri Vladivostok	KDV Tomsk	0 : 4
12	Bye	Dynamo Vladivostok
16	Bye	Chelyabinsk
17	Kamaz	Bye
24	Bye	S. Kostroma
25	Znamya Truda	Bye
26	Bye	Dynamo Barnaul
27	Omsk	Bye
28	Temp Barnaul	Uralets Nizhny Tagil	3 : 2
32	Bye	FK Chayka
33	Dynamo Vologda	Bye
34	Bye	Dynamo Petersburg
35	Tekstilshtik	Bye
36	Bye	Tver
40	Bye	Fakel Voronezh
41	Dynamo Stavropol	Bye
42	Bye	Angust Nazran
43	Kuban	Bye
44	PSK Dinskoy rayon	Maykop	2 : 1
48	Bye	Ural
49	Tyumen	Bye
50	Nosta	Ilpar FC	2 : 3
51	Miass	Bye
52	Bye	Volna Nizhegorodskaya
56	Bye	Arsenal Tula
57	Broke Boys	Oryol	3 : 2
58	Bye	Kursk
59	D. Bryansk	Bye
60	Bye	Saturn Ramenskoye
64	Bye	Saratov
65	Astrakhan	Bye
66	Bye	FK Pobeda
67	Legion Makhachkala	Bye
68	Bye	Alania Vladikavkaz
72	Bye	Chernomorets Novorossijsk
73	Mashuk	Bye
74	Bye	Spartak Nalchik
75	Kholding	Bye
76	Bye	Nart Cherkessk
80	Bye	Ulyanovsk
81	Spartak Tambov	Bye
82	Bye	Lipetsk
83	Murom	Bye
84	FK Shumbrat Saransk	Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk	1 : 3
88	Bye	Torpedo Moscow
89	Kosmos	Bye
90	2Drots	Vladimir	1 : 0
91	Veles Moscow	Bye
92	Znamya Noginsk	Kolomna	3 : 0
96	Bye	R. Volgograd
97	Kaluga	Bye
98	Amkal Moscow	Kvant	3 : 1
99	Salyut-Belgorod	Bye
100	Bye	Ryazan
104	Bye	Yenisey
105	Kirov	Bye
106	FK Fankom (WO.)	Sokol Kazan
107	Khimik	Bye
108	Bye	Amkar
112	Bye	Ufa
113	Leningradets	Bye
114	Kristall	Luki-Energiya	1 : 3
115	RWChallenge	Zvezda St. Peterburg	1 : 4
116	Leningradets	Cherepovets	0 : 3
120	Bye	Shinnik Yaroslavl
121	Penza	Bye
122	Bye	FK Strogino Moscow
123	Volgar-Astrakhan	Bye
124	Bye	Chertanovo M.
128	Bye	Neftekhimik

1/16-finals

1	SKA Khabarovsk	Bye
4	Bye	Rodina Moscow
5	Irkutsk	Sibir Novosibirsk	2 : 0
6	KDV Tomsk	Dynamo Vladivostok	3 : 0
8	Bye	Chelyabinsk
9	Kamaz	Bye
12	Bye	S. Kostroma
13	Znamya Truda	Dynamo Barnaul	2 : 1
14	Omsk	Temp Barnaul	0 : 1
16	Bye	FK Chayka
17	Dynamo Vologda	Dynamo Petersburg	1 : 0
18	Tekstilshtik	Tver	1 : 0
20	Bye	Fakel Voronezh
21	Dynamo Stavropol	Angust Nazran	2 : 1
22	Kuban	PSK Dinskoy rayon	1 : 2
24	Bye	Ural
25	Tyumen	Ilpar FC	4 : 1
26	Miass	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	0 : 1
28	Bye	Arsenal Tula
29	Broke Boys	Kursk	2 : 1
30	D. Bryansk	Saturn Ramenskoye	0 : 1
32	Bye	Saratov
33	Astrakhan	FK Pobeda	1 : 0
34	Legion Makhachkala	Alania Vladikavkaz	3 : 2
36	Bye	Chernomorets Novorossijsk
37	Mashuk	Spartak Nalchik	1 : 0
38	Kholding	Nart Cherkessk	1 : 0
40	Bye	Ulyanovsk
41	Spartak Tambov	Lipetsk	2 : 1
42	Murom	Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk	2 : 3
44	Bye	Torpedo Moscow
45	Kosmos	2Drots	1 : 0
46	Veles Moscow	Znamya Noginsk	2 : 0
48	Bye	R. Volgograd
49	Kaluga	Amkal Moscow	0 : 1
50	Salyut-Belgorod	Ryazan	3 : 0
52	Bye	Yenisey
53	Kirov	FK Fankom	1 : 2
54	Khimik	Amkar	2 : 1
56	Bye	Ufa
57	Leningradets	Luki-Energiya	0 : 2
58	Zvezda St. Peterburg	Cherepovets	1 : 2
60	Bye	Shinnik Yaroslavl
61	Penza	FK Strogino Moscow	1 : 0
62	Volgar-Astrakhan	Chertanovo M.	2 : 1
64	Bye	Neftekhimik

1/8-finals

1	SKA Khabarovsk	Bye
2	Bye	Rodina Moscow
3	Irkutsk	KDV Tomsk	3 : 0
4	Bye	Chelyabinsk
5	Kamaz	Bye
6	Bye	S. Kostroma
7	Znamya Truda	Temp Barnaul	1 : 0
8	Bye	FK Chayka
9	Dynamo Vologda	Tekstilshtik	1 : 2
10	Bye	Fakel Voronezh
11	Dynamo Stavropol	PSK Dinskoy rayon	1 : 2
12	Bye	Ural
13	Tyumen	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	1 : 2
14	Bye	Arsenal Tula
15	Broke Boys	Saturn Ramenskoye	2 : 0
16	Bye	Saratov
17	Astrakhan	Legion Makhachkala	5 : 2
18	Bye	Chernomorets Novorossijsk
19	Mashuk	Kholding	0 : 3
20	Bye	Ulyanovsk
21	Spartak Tambov	Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk	0 : 1
22	Bye	Torpedo Moscow
23	Kosmos	Veles Moscow	1 : 4
24	Bye	R. Volgograd
25	Amkal Moscow	Salyut-Belgorod	2 : 1
26	Bye	Yenisey
27	FK Fankom	Khimik	1 : 0
28	Bye	Ufa
29	Luki-Energiya	Cherepovets	2 : 4
30	Bye	Shinnik Yaroslavl
31	Penza	Volgar-Astrakhan	0 : 1
32	Bye	Neftekhimik

Quarter-finals

1	SKA Khabarovsk	Rodina Moscow	0 : 3
2	Irkutsk	Chelyabinsk	2 : 3
3	Kamaz	S. Kostroma	1 : 0
4	Znamya Truda	FK Chayka	0 : 1
5	Tekstilshtik	Fakel Voronezh	1 : 2
6	PSK Dinskoy rayon	Ural	1 : 2
7	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	Arsenal Tula	0 : 3
8	Broke Boys	Saratov	0 : 2
9	Astrakhan	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	0 : 2
10	Kholding	Ulyanovsk	3 : 2
11	Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk	Torpedo Moscow	1 : 3
12	Veles Moscow	R. Volgograd	2 : 1
13	Amkal Moscow	Yenisey	1 : 2
14	FK Fankom	Ufa	0 : 3
15	Cherepovets	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 : 4
16	Volgar-Astrakhan	Neftekhimik	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Rodina Moscow	Chelyabinsk	0 : 1
2	Kamaz	FK Chayka	3 : 1
3	Fakel Voronezh	Ural	1 : 0
4	Arsenal Tula	Saratov	1 : 0
5	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	Kholding	1 : 2
6	Torpedo Moscow	Veles Moscow	3 : 0
7	Yenisey	Ufa	1 : 2
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	Neftekhimik	1 : 2

Final

1	Chelyabinsk	Kamaz
2	Fakel Voronezh	Arsenal Tula
3	Kholding	Torpedo Moscow
4	Ufa	Neftekhimik

Which TV channels are streaming of Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV