Result
2:1
23/10/2025 at 02:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- WTA - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 74% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (49/80) | 58% (44/76) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 41% (11/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 55% (6/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (32/76) | 39% (31/80) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 49% (19/39) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 20% (4/20) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (69/119) | 53% (55/103) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (48/103) | 42% (50/119) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (117/222) | 47% (105/222) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 27% (4/15) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 45% (13/29) |
Chances of winning
Caty McNally
54.5% | Ajla Tomljanovic
45.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caty McNally has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Ajla Tomljanovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caty McNally than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caty McNally that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajla Tomljanovic than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajla Tomljanovic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caty McNally - Ajla Tomljanovic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.87) |
|
2.08 ↑
(1.87) |
5.7%
(7%) | |
What is the prediction for Caty McNally - Ajla Tomljanovic?
- Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. McNally will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Tomljanovic will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tomljanovic: 57.1% – 100%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
- AH +2.5 Games - Tomljanovic (2.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +3.5 Games - Tomljanovic (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ajla Tomljanovic will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Tomljanovic (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- McNally is ranked WTA: 90. Tomljanovic is ranked WTA: 89.
- Recent performances by McNally have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tomljanovic is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- McNally may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, McNally won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Caty McNally won against Ajla Tomljanovic?
Caty McNally has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ajla Tomljanovic won against Caty McNally?
Ajla Tomljanovic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caty McNally - Ajla Tomljanovic were as follows:
06.03.2025
Ajla Tomljanovic
-
Caty McNally
Tomljanovic A. retired
Latest results of Caty McNally
Latest results of Ajla Tomljanovic
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Bouzas Maneiro J. (1) | Sun L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Wang Y. (WC) | Rakhimova K. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Juvan K. (Q) | McNally C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Tomljanovic A. | Parks A. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Eala A. (4) | Liu C. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bondar A. | Guo H. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Seidel E. | Jeanjean L. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Korneeva A. (Q) | Putintseva Y. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kudermetova P. (8) | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Kawa K. (Q) | Volynets K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhang S. (WC) | Zakharova A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Erjavec V. | Maria T. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Jones F. (7) | Wang Xiy. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Cocciaretto E. | Parry D. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Osorio C. | Bronzetti L. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Jimenez Kasintseva V. (LL) | Li A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sun L. | Wang Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | McNally C. | Tomljanovic A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Liu C. | Bondar A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Seidel E. | Putintseva Y. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. | Volynets K. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Zhang S. | Erjavec V. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Wang Xiy. | Cocciaretto E. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Osorio C. | Li A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sun L. | McNally C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Liu C. | Seidel E. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Volynets K. | Zhang S. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Cocciaretto E. | Li A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sun L. | Liu C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Zhang S. (RET.) | Li A. (2) | 0 : 0 |
Final
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