PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Cup Women PSV Eindhoven - Ajax
Result
4:1
21/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie Cup Women - Semi-finals
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Dostmohamed I. (Pen),
  • 19', 1 - 1, Jansen R. ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, Kalma F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 3 - 1, Xhemaili R. ,
  • 77', 4 - 1, Nijstad N. ,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
56.9%
Draw
23.4%
Ajax
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 25.8% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 24.6% 25.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSV Eindhoven's performance.
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSV Eindhoven that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.97)
    3.92
    (3.59)
    4.64
    (3.41)
    9.2%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 3.
    • PSV is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ajax has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • PSV could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - Ajax were as follows:
    22.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 3:1
    07.12.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 0:2
    15.05.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 1:2
    01.05.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 2:1
    09.12.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 3:3
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Ajax
    17.05.2025 Excelsior - Ajax 1:3
    03.05.2025 Ajax - Telstar 3:1
    21.04.2025 Twente - Ajax 5:1
    30.03.2025 Ajax - ADO Den Haag 4:0
    22.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 3:1
    Draw
    2024/25

    Semi-finals
    1PSV WAjax W5 : 1
    2Twente WUtrecht W7 : 4

    Final
    1PSV WTwente W4 : 3
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