PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven - Ajax
Result
2:2
21/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 6
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.19
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
95
Passes
87% (429/491)79% (249/314)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
3.202.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.002.28
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
54
Corner Kicks
95
Touches in opposition box
2425
Accurate through passes
22
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
87% (429/491)79% (249/314)
Long passes
49% (23/47)41% (15/37)
Passes in final third
75% (119/159)68% (48/71)
Crosses
24% (6/25)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.600.83
Throw-ins
1019
Fouls
1713
Tackles
69% (18/26)32% (7/22)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
1421
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
2.282.00
Goals prevented
0.280.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Saibari I. , Perisic I. (A),
  • 18', Wijndal O. 🟨,
  • 21', Perisic I. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Taylor K. (Pen),
  • 40', van Bommel R. , Bajraktarevic E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Dolberg K. , Gloukh O. ,
  • 50', Regeer Y. 🟨,
  • 65', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
  • 68', Regeer Y. , Fitz-Jim K. ,
  • 69', Wijndal O. , Sutalo J. ,
  • 69', Dest S. , Mauro Junior ,
  • 69', Schouten J. , Til G. ,
  • 72', Taylor K. 🟨,
  • 74', Edvardsen O. , Berghuis S. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Gasiorowski Y. , Mauro Junior (A),
  • 85', Rosa L. , Moro R. ,
  • 88', Veerman J. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 2, Gloukh O. , Taylor K. (A),
  • 90+2', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/nn996znu

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
58.4%
Draw
21.5%
Ajax
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 23.8% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 23.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.69)
    4.43
    (3.98)
    4.72
    (4.73)
    4.6%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 53.9%93.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSV won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, PSV is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in PSV: Kuhn W. (Knee Injury) Mauro Junior (Ankle Injury) Plea A. (Knee Injury) Sildillia K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Health problems) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in PSV: Boadu M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Taylor K. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSV won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSV won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - Ajax were as follows:
    30.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 0:2
    02.11.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 3:2
    03.02.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 1:1
    29.10.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 5:2
    23.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 3:0
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Ajax
    17.09.2025 Ajax - Inter Milan 0:2
    13.09.2025 Ajax - Zwolle 3:1
    30.08.2025 Volendam - Ajax 1:1
    24.08.2025 Ajax - Heracles Almelo 2:0
    17.08.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Ajax 2:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord651014:41016
    2PSV641119:10913
    3Ajax633012:6612
    4Groningen640212:9312
    5AZ Alkmaar532012:7511
    6Sittard631210:9110
    7Nijmegen630319:1279
    8Utrecht630311:569
    9G.A. Eagles623111:929
    10Sparta Rotterdam63038:16-89
    11Twente62139:817
    12NAC Breda62136:10-47
    13Zwolle52034:7-36
    14Excelsior62045:13-86
    15Heerenveen61238:10-25
    16FC Volendam60427:11-44
    17Telstar61145:11-64
    18Heracles60063:18-150

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Which TV channels are streaming of PSV Eindhoven - Ajax?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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