PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Dutch Eredivisie PSV Eindhoven - Ajax
Result
0:2
30/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Eredivisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.83
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
87% (481/554)76% (278/367)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.511.24
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
4215
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
810
Passes
87% (481/554)76% (278/367)
Long passes
42% (15/36)40% (29/72)
Passes in final third
81% (176/218)62% (49/79)
Crosses
21% (6/29)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.54
Fouls
108
Tackles
58% (7/12)35% (6/17)
Duels won
4046
Clearances Total
1337
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
1.240.51
Goals prevented
-0.760.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Klaassen D. , Rosa L. (A),
  • 36', Brobbey B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Til G. , Tillman M. ,
  • 46', Veerman J. , Malacia T. ,
  • 58', Taylor K. 🟨,
  • 61', Baas Y. , Rugani D. ,
  • 62', Berghuis S. , Traore B. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Traore B. , Matheus (A),
  • 76', Lang N. 🟨,
  • 77', Godts M. , Edvardsen O. ,
  • 77', Boscagli O. , Bakayoko J. ,
  • 77', Dest S. , Ledezma R. ,
  • 80', Klaassen D. , Wijndal O. ,
  • 87', Mauro Junior , Land T. ,

Chances of winning


PSV Eindhoven
60.3%
Draw
21.3%
Ajax
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 21.9% 20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 21.5% 20%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.64)
    4.46
    (4.31)
    5.14
    (4.63)
    4.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. PSV will win (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Ajax will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 56%91.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches PSV won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match PSV is a favorite.
    • There will not play in PSV: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Pepi R. (Knee Injury) Perez L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Gaaei A. (Red Card) Pasveer R. (Groin Injury) Weghorst W. (Toe Injury) Wijndal O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Rasmussen C. (Hamstring Injury) Regeer Y. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches PSV won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 39:31 (average 2:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams PSV won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:7 (average 2.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between PSV Eindhoven - Ajax were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 3:2
    03.02.2024 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 1:1
    29.10.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 5:2
    23.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 3:0
    06.11.2022 Ajax - PSV Eindhoven 1:2
    Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
    Latest results of Ajax
    13.03.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Ajax 4:1
    09.03.2025 Zwolle - Ajax 0:1
    06.03.2025 Ajax - Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2
    02.03.2025 Almere City - Ajax 0:1
    23.02.2025 Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles 2:0
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV11006:153
    2Nijmegen11005:053
    3Utrecht11004:043
    4AZ Alkmaar11004:133
    5Ajax11002:023
    6Feyenoord11002:023
    7Zwolle11001:013
    8Sittard10102:201
    9G.A. Eagles10102:201
    10FC Volendam10101:101
    11Heerenveen10101:101
    12Twente10010:1-10
    13Telstar10010:2-20
    14NAC Breda10010:2-20
    15Groningen10011:4-30
    16Heracles10010:4-40
    17Sparta Rotterdam10011:6-50
    18Excelsior10010:5-50

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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