Ajaccio vs Pau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer French Ligue 2 Ajaccio - Pau
Result
1:1
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ligue 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
Ajaccio - Pau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.35
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
86% (428/497)84% (345/410)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.341.35
xG on target (xGOT)
1.681.14
Total shots
1513
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
77
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
3024
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
86% (428/497)84% (345/410)
Long passes
68% (36/53)64% (30/47)
Passes in final third
69% (90/130)73% (84/115)
Crosses
23% (6/26)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.181.02
Fouls
1210
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances Total
2529
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.141.68
Goals prevented
0.140.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', Ruiz J. 🟨,
  • 22', Santelli B. (Pen),
  • 31', Mboup P. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Beusnard S. , Koudou T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mboup P. , Diawara K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Kante A. , Santelli B. (A),
  • 62', Junior Pereira da Silva E. , Mangani T. ,
  • 66', Chahiri M. , Bangre M. ,
  • 71', Youssouf M. , Strata T. ,
  • 71', Santelli B. , Toure B. ,
  • 77', Koudou T. , Gaspar J. ,
  • 77', Kalulu J. , Obiang J. ,
  • 85', Boutaib K. , Arconte T. ,
  • 85', Kante A. , Chegra I. ,
  • 86', Kouassi A. , Ayessa J. ,

Chances of winning


Ajaccio
37.8%
Draw
30.5%
Pau
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 30% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 30.2% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Ajaccio - Pau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.41)
    3.06
    (3.12)
    2.96
    (3.01)
    6.5%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Pau?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Ajaccio: Soumano M. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Arm Injury)
    • There will not play in Pau: Arconte T. (Ankle Injury) Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Pau were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:0
    06.04.2024 Pau - Ajaccio 1:1
    21.10.2023 Ajaccio - Pau 2:0
    Latest results of Ajaccio
    11.04.2025 Troyes - Ajaccio 0:0
    04.04.2025 Ajaccio - Amiens 2:1
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Ajaccio - Red Star 2:1
    07.03.2025 Grenoble - Ajaccio 2:2
    Latest results of Pau
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pau - Troyes 0:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Pau FC11002:023
    2Troyes11002:113
    3Le Mans10103:301
    4St Etienne10103:301
    5Guingamp10103:301
    6Laval10103:301
    7Clermont10102:201
    8Dunkerque10102:201
    9Montpellier10101:101
    10Red Star10101:101
    11Nancy10100:001
    12Rodez10100:001
    13Amiens00000:000
    14Bastia00000:000
    15Boulogne00000:000
    16Reims00000:000
    17Grenoble10011:2-10
    18Annecy10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ajaccio - Pau?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
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