Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Allsvenskan - Round 26
- Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
Advertisement
Watch and bet AIK - Värnamo live
-
Sign in or
Register
(it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
- To place a bet while streaming, go to
Live In-Play
- Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event,
or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream,
you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if,
depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/372) | 84% (418/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/372) | 84% (418/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 47% (38/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.97 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 15', 0 - 1, Mohammed R. ⚽, Liimatta O. (A),
- 18', Yohanna Z. ↓, Ayari T. ↑,
- 19', 0 - 2, Liimatta O. ⚽, Bjornstrom A. (A),
- 27', 0 - 3, Alsalkhadi M. ⚽, Bjornstrom A. (A),
- 32', Saletros A. 🟨,
- 36', Geiger Y. ↓, Flataker E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Filling K. ↓, Hove J. ↑,
- 52', Shamoun N. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 58', Isherwood T. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 3, Flataker E. ⚽, Celina B. (A),
- 69', Ayari T. ↓, Kouame A. ↑,
- 69', Nissen F. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 74', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Flataker E. ⚽, Besirovic D. (A),
- 86', Johansson C. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
- 86', Liimatta O. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 87', Besirovic D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Antonsen K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Celina B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AIK
43.5% | Draw
29.7% | Värnamo
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AIK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AIK's form might have worsened.Värnamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Värnamo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+23.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AIK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Värnamo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AIK - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.61 ↑
(1.44) |
5.67 ↑
(4.58) |
5.84 ↓
(6.61) |
-43.6%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AIK - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 5.
- AIK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Värnamo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, AIK is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in AIK: Andersson V.
(Injury)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Guidetti J.
(Injury)
Helm A.
(Injury)
Hove J.
(Calf Injury)
Nissen F.
(Injury)
Redkin A.
(Knee Injury)
Saletros A.
(Injury)
Thychosen M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AIK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Värnamo?
AIK has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against AIK?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - Värnamo were as follows:
24.04.2025
Värnamo
-
AIK
1:2
28.02.2025
AIK
-
Värnamo
2:0
31.08.2024
Värnamo
-
AIK
0:1
24.04.2024
AIK
-
Värnamo
2:0
12.11.2023
AIK
-
Värnamo
3:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Hammarby | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 52 |
| 3 | GAIS | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 38:25 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | AIK | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 5 | Goteborg | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 42 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 42 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Hacken | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 38:45 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 29 |
| 11 | Sirius | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 29 |
| 12 | Norrkoping | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:49 | -11 | 29 |
| 13 | Halmstad | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 21:47 | -26 | 28 |
| 14 | Oster | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:37 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Degerfors | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27:48 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Varnamo | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | -22 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Which TV channels are streaming of AIK - Värnamo?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
