Aguada vs Nacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Uruguayan Liga Basketball Aguada - Nacional
Result
99:81
13/03/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • URUGUAY: Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Aguada - Nacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5878
Field Goals Made
3230
Field Goals %
55.2%38.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3345
2-Point Field Goals Made
2122
2-Point Field Goals %
63.6%48.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2533
3-Point Field Goals Made
118
3-Point Field Goals %
44%24.2%
Free Throws Attempted
3022
Free Throws Made
2413
Free Throws %
80%59.1%
Offensive Rebounds
1319
Defensive Rebounds
3118
Total Rebounds
4437
Assists
1919
Blocks
41
Turnovers
1812
Steals
711
Personal Fouls
2429

Chances of winning


Aguada 46.6%Nacional 53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
Aguada 60.8%Nacional 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Aguada 59.8%Nacional 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aguada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aguada's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguada than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aguada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Aguada - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.51)

    1.75
    (2.34)
    7.2%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 173.25
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Aguada - Nacional?
    The most likely score is 89:85. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Aguada won 3.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Aguada won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1763:1671 (average 88.2:83.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Aguada won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 929:824 (average 92.9:82.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aguada - Nacional were as follows:
    13.02.2025 Nacional - Aguada 91:94
    13.12.2024 Aguada - Nacional 88:90
    24.05.2024 Nacional - Aguada 82:97
    21.05.2024 Aguada - Nacional 92:87
    17.05.2024 Nacional - Aguada 98:89
    Latest results of Aguada
    11.03.2025 Aguada - Malvín 85:90
    04.03.2025 Aguada - Welcome 101:72
    27.02.2025 Trouville Montevideo - Aguada 75:77
    13.02.2025 Nacional - Aguada 91:94
    07.02.2025 Aguada - Malvín 71:70
    Latest results of Nacional
    05.03.2025 Biguá - Nacional 96:102
    13.02.2025 Nacional - Aguada 91:94
    07.02.2025 Cordón - Nacional 79:86
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1NacionalBye
    2Hebraica y MacabiRemeros Mercedes2 : 1
    3PenarolBye
    4ByeDefensor
    5AguadaBye
    6BiguaFerro Carril2 : 0
    7MalvinBye
    8ByeCordon

    Quarter-finals
    1NacionalHebraica y Macabi3 : 0
    2PenarolDefensor2 : 3
    3AguadaBigua3 : 0
    4MalvinCordon3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1NacionalDefensor1 : 1
    2AguadaMalvin1 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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