Barcelona de Ilhéus vs Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Serie D Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Result
1:0
15/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie D - Round 9
Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
412
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
015
Total shots
412
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
28
Corner Kicks
015
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Diki ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Barcelona de Ilhéus
18.1%
Draw
26.3%
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.5% 25.9% 57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 24.7% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.98
    (5.5)
    3.42
    (3.5)
    1.62
    (1.57)
    11.2%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Barcelona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • ASA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, ASA is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barcelona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona de Ilhéus - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus 4:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3GoiatubaInter de Limeira
    4CianorteTBD #8
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