Sabah vs AGF Aarhus: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer UEFA Champions League Sabah - AGF Aarhus
Result
4:0
11/08/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
Sabah - AGF Aarhus - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.700.99
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
2914
Shots on target
105
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
74
Passes
85% (311/366)87% (322/372)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
2.700.99
xG on target (xGOT)
2.250.71
Total shots
2914
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
115
Blocked shots
84
Shots inside the box
238
Shots outside the box
66
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
4413
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1011
Passes
85% (311/366)87% (322/372)
Long passes
58% (32/55)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
76% (99/131)75% (62/83)
Crosses
33% (8/24)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.66
Throw ins
2012
Fouls
1110
Tackles
67% (10/15)89% (8/9)
Duels won
4530
Clearances
1530
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
0.712.25
Goals prevented
0.71-1.75
Goal kicks
79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Carstensen R. 🟨,
  • 32', Andersen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 58', Mbina O. , Severina X. ,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Simic V. , Mickels J. (A),
  • 64', Links G. , Emmery F. ,
  • 65', Carstensen R. , Anderson M. ,
  • 66', Kahl E. 🟨,
  • 67', 2 - 0, Solvet S. , Isayev A. (A),
  • 72', Knudsen M. , Serra J. ,
  • 78', 3 - 0, Mickels J. ,
  • 81', Rosler C. , Camara M. ,
  • 82', Jonsson J. , Jorgensen S. ,
  • 82', Isayev A. , Nwachukwu C. ,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Severina X. , Zedadka A. (A),
  • 90+3', Mickels J. , Fernandes R. ,
  • 90+3', Lepinjica I. , Khaybulaev A. ,
  • 90+4', Zedadka A. , Mutallimov T. ,

Chances of winning


Sabah
49.1%
Draw
25.6%
AGF Aarhus
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 27.6% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sabah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabah's performance.
  • AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AGF Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabah that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Sabah - AGF Aarhus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.3)
    3.7
    (3.36)
    3.74
    (3.07)
    5.6%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Sabah - AGF Aarhus?
    • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Sabah will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Aarhus will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Sabah: 52.6%89%.
    • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-2.
    • Sabah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Aarhus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Aarhus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Sabah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
    05.08.2026 AGF Aarhus - Sabah 2:1
    Latest results of Sabah
    05.08.2026 AGF Aarhus - Sabah 2:1
    28.07.2026 KuPS Kuopio - Sabah 0:2
    21.07.2026 Sabah - KuPS Kuopio 1:0
    14.07.2026 The New Saints - Sabah 1:2
    07.07.2026 Sabah - The New Saints 2:0
    Latest results of AGF Aarhus
    05.08.2026 AGF Aarhus - Sabah 2:1
    01.08.2026 Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus 2:2
    29.07.2026 Lech Poznań - AGF Aarhus 1:5
    25.07.2026 AGF Aarhus - Brøndby 1:1
    21.07.2026 AGF Aarhus - Lech Poznań 1:4
    Draw

    1/8-finals
    1Borac Banja LukaLevski Sofia0 : 4, 1 : 1
    2ML VitebskUniv. Craiova0 : 1, 1 : 4
    3OmoniaBye
    4Kairat AlmatySutjeska2 : 0, 2 : 1
    8ByeAEK Athens
    9CelticBye
    16ByeLASK
    17ThunBye
    18ByeDin. Zagreb
    19KlaksvikBissen2 : 1, 2 : 1
    20Kauno ZalgirisDrita3 : 2, 1 : 1
    24ByeViking
    25MjallbyBye
    26Lincoln Red ImpsInter Escaldes1 : 1, 3 : 1
    27FloraIberia 19992 : 2, 2 : 3
    28ByeSlovan Bratislava
    29Ararat-ArmeniaRiga FC2 : 3, 2 : 0
    30FlorianaShamrock Rovers1 : 5, 2 : 0
    31PetrocubEgnatia1 : 6, 1 : 1
    32ByeCelje
    33Vikingur ReykjavikGyor2 : 2, 1 : 0
    34ByeH. Beer Sheva
    35Tre FioriLarne1 : 2, 0 : 1
    36ByeCrvena zvezda
    37AarhusBye
    38ByeLech Poznan
    39Sabah BakuTNS2 : 1, 2 : 0
    40VardarKuPS3 : 2, 0 : 2
    41FenerbahceBye
    42ByeGornik Zabrze
    43Sturm GrazBye
    44ByeHearts
    45Sparta PragueBye
    48ByeLyon
    49Olympiacos PiraeusBye
    52ByeNijmegen
    53Royale Union SGBye
    56ByeBodo/Glimt

    Quarter-finals
    1Levski SofiaUniv. Craiova2 : 2, 1 : 0
    2OmoniaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeAEK Athens
    5CelticBye
    8ByeLASK
    9ThunDin. Zagreb2 : 3, 1 : 1
    10KlaksvikKauno Zalgiris0 : 1, 0 : 0
    12ByeViking
    13MjallbyLincoln Red Imps0 : 0, 3 : 0
    14Iberia 1999Slovan Bratislava1 : 1, 0 : 2
    15Ararat-ArmeniaShamrock Rovers1 : 2, 2 : 0
    16EgnatiaCelje2 : 3, 3 : 3
    17Vikingur ReykjavikH. Beer Sheva0 : 2, 2 : 1
    18LarneCrvena zvezda0 : 5, 0 : 4
    19AarhusLech Poznan5 : 1, 1 : 4
    20Sabah BakuKuPS2 : 0, 1 : 0
    21FenerbahceGornik Zabrze1 : 1, 1 : 0
    22Sturm GrazHearts2 : 0, 4 : 0
    23Sparta PragueBye
    24ByeLyon
    25Olympiacos PiraeusBye
    26ByeNijmegen
    27Royale Union SGBye
    28ByeBodo/Glimt

    Semi-finals
    1Levski SofiaKairat Almaty1 : 0, 1 : 0
    2ByeAEK Athens
    3CelticBye
    4ByeLASK
    5Din. ZagrebKauno Zalgiris2 : 1, 5 : 0
    6ByeViking
    7MjallbySlovan Bratislava0 : 2, 1 : 2
    8Ararat-ArmeniaCelje0 : 2, 2 : 1
    9H. Beer ShevaCrvena zvezda2 : 0, 1 : 0
    10AarhusSabah Baku0 : 4, 2 : 1
    11FenerbahceSturm Graz1 : 0, 2 : 0
    12Sparta PragueLyon0 : 3, 2 : 1
    13Olympiacos PiraeusNijmegen1 : 2, 0 : 0
    14Royale Union SGBodo/Glimt2 : 3, 3 : 3

    Final
    1Levski SofiaAEK Athens
    2CelticLASK
    3Din. ZagrebViking
    4Slovan BratislavaCelje
    5H. Beer ShevaSabah Baku
    6FenerbahceLyon
    7NijmegenBodo/Glimt
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