Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Superliga - Round 10
- Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (528/596) | 91% (497/547) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (528/596) | 91% (497/547) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (27/50) | 71% (37/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (121/157) | 84% (146/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (18/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Carstensen R. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
- 49', Solbakken M. 🟨,
- 57', Tingager F. 🟨,
- 62', Jorgensen S. ↓, Yakob K. ↑,
- 67', Lind A. 🟨,
- 70', Arnstad K. (Pen),
- 73', Solbakken O. ↓, Berthelsen V. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Lind A. ⚽, Rojkjaer N. (A),
- 81', 1 - 1, Beijmo F. ⚽,
- 82', Brink M. ↓, Janssen J. ↑,
- 82', Amoako P. ↓, Seidu I. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Solbakken M. ⚽,
- 87', Yakob K. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
- 88', Lahteenmaki J. ↓, Nene L. ↑,
- 90+2', Mortensen P. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Links G. ↓, Dalsgaard H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nordsjælland
37.1% | Draw
26.8% | AGF Aarhus
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nordsjælland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordsjælland than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+2%)
Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(2.75) |
3.57 ↓
(3.58) |
2.61 ↑
(2.4) |
5.2%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nordsjælland will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Aarhus will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nordsjælland: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 3.
- Nordsjælland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aarhus is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Aarhus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nordsjælland: Marxen E.
(Injury)
Mohammed A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J.
(Knee Injury)
Molgaard T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nordsjælland won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nordsjælland won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nordsjælland won against AGF Aarhus?
Nordsjælland has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGF Aarhus won against Nordsjælland?
AGF Aarhus has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus were as follows:
16.05.2025
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
2:0
30.03.2025
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
2:0
22.11.2024
Nordsjælland
-
AGF Aarhus
1:0
31.08.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
4:2
03.05.2024
AGF Aarhus
-
Nordsjælland
1:3
Latest results of Nordsjælland
Latest results of AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarhus | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Midtjylland | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 26:14 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Copenhagen | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Brondby | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Randers FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 16 |
| 6 | Nordsjaelland | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 |
| 7 | Sonderjyske | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Viborg | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Odense | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:28 | -10 | 12 |
| 10 | Fredericia | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:22 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | Silkeborg | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Vejle | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )
Superliga (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
