Result
1:0
30/08/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : League One - Round 3
- Referee: Humphries A. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (211/312) | 79% (324/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (211/312) | 79% (324/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/69) | 41% (23/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (59/113) | 73% (86/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 26% (7/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.50 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.34 |
| Goal kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Higgins A. ↓, Harris A. ↑,
- 21', Harris A. 🟨,
- 22', Caldwell G. 🟨,
- 25', Mellish J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Weir J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Carragher J. 🟨,
- 67', Tilley J. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 67', Nelson Z. ↓, Harrison O. ↑,
- 68', Johnson R. ↓, Sessegnon S. ↑,
- 68', Sasu A. ↓, McNeilly D. ↑,
- 73', Sessegnon S. 🟨,
- 74', Perkins S. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 75', Harrison O. 🟨,
- 77', Smith A. 🟨,
- 84', Barrett C. ↓, Miller K. ↑,
- 84', Burns F. ↓, Chilokoa-Mullen J. ↑,
- 86', Ogundere I. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Hippolyte M. ⚽, McNeilly D. (A),
- 90+6', Seddon S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
32.3% | Draw
28.7% | Wigan Athletic
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.93 ↑
(2.87) |
3.29 ↓
(3.31) |
2.42 ↑
(2.38) |
5.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic?
- Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
- The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wigan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wigan: Saydee C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Wigan Athletic?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against AFC Wimbledon?
Wigan Athletic has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
25.04.2026
Wigan Athletic
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:1
22.11.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Wigan Athletic
1:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Wigan Athletic
English League One Table
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
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