AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage Borough: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English EFL Trophy AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough
Result
1:5
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)
AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.143.38
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
520
Shots on target
310
Big Chances
27
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
76% (294/385)83% (408/489)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.143.38
xG on target (xGOT)
2.193.91
Total shots
520
Shots on target
310
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
314
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
27
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
76% (294/385)83% (408/489)
Long passes
32% (20/63)51% (40/78)
Passes in final third
57% (53/93)75% (102/136)
Crosses
18% (2/11)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.49
Throw-ins
1813
Fouls
1310
Tackles
73% (11/15)38% (5/13)
Duels won
4655
Clearances
2521
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.912.19
Goals prevented
-1.091.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Patterson P. , Malcolm J. (A),
  • 15', 0 - 2, Lubala B. ,
  • 23', Sasu A. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 2, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Pen),
  • 32', Lubala B. , Roberts J. ,
  • 38', Butler D. 🟨,
  • 43', White H. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 3, Ahadme G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Horan R. , Foyo O. ,
  • 50', 1 - 4, White H. , Patterson P. (A),
  • 66', Hackford A. , Nkeng R. ,
  • 67', McCoy-Splatt D. , Jennings K. ,
  • 81', 1 - 5, Ahadme G. , Pattenden J. (A),
  • 82', Malcolm J. , Campbell C. ,
  • 82', Doherty R. , Kemp D. ,
  • 86', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Hedges H. ,
  • 86', Patterson P. , Roberts M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
29.9%
Draw
28.5%
Stevenage Borough
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 26.9% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 26.4% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (2.64)
    3.37
    (3.43)
    2.27
    (2.41)
    4.4%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Stevenage will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 19.1%73.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    05.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:1
    15.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    28.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:3
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English EFL Trophy Table
    2025/26

    Group 1
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stockport County110005:33
    2Salford110002:03
    3Wolves U21100013:50
    4Wigan100010:20


    Group 2
    PlWWLLPts
    1Blackpool000000:00
    2Tranmere000000:00
    3Barrow000000:00
    4Nottingham U21000000:00


    Group 3
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    1Doncaster110002:13
    2Bradford City110002:13
    3Grimsby100011:20
    4Everton U21100011:20


    Group 4
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    1Lincoln110003:03
    2Barnsley000000:00
    3Manchester Utd U21000000:00
    4Notts Co100010:30


    Group 5
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    1Manchester City U21110005:13
    2Bolton110001:03
    3Rotherham100010:10
    4Oldham100011:50


    Group 6
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    1Huddersfield110006:23
    2Mansfield000000:00
    3Harrogate000000:00
    4Newcastle Utd U21100012:60


    Group 7
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    1Port Vale110004:13
    2Fleetwood101002:22
    3Accrington100102:21
    4Leeds U21100011:40


    Group 8
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crewe110007:13
    2Burton110002:03
    3Liverpool U21100010:20
    4Chesterfield100011:70


    Group 9
    PlWWLLPts
    1Cardiff000000:00
    2Exeter000000:00
    3Newport000000:00
    4Arsenal U21000000:00


    Group 10
    PlWWLLPts
    1Plymouth110002:03
    2Bristol Rovers101004:42
    3Tottenham U21100104:41
    4Cheltenham100010:20


    Group 11
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    1Walsall110003:13
    2Shrewsbury210014:43
    3Northampton000000:00
    4Chelsea U21100011:30


    Group 12
    PlWWLLPts
    1Swindon110003:23
    2MK Dons000000:00
    3West Ham U21000000:00
    4Reading100012:30


    Group 13
    PlWWLLPts
    1Stevenage110005:13
    2Bromley101003:32
    3Crystal Palace U21100103:31
    4AFC Wimbledon100011:50


    Group 14
    PlWWLLPts
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    2Crawley000000:00
    3Aston Villa U21000000:00
    4Peterborough100011:30


    Group 15
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    1Gillingham110004:13
    2Colchester110002:13
    3Wycombe100011:20
    4Fulham U21100011:40


    Group 16
    PlWWLLPts
    1Luton110004:13
    2Cambridge Utd000000:00
    3Brighton U21000000:00
    4Barnet100011:40

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