Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two Newport County - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2
02/01/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 24
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Newport County - AFC Wimbledon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.071.63
Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
1513
Shots on Goal
75
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
35
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
52
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Free Kicks
144
Offsides
21
Fouls
414
Yellow Cards
03
Throw-ins
2522
Touches in the Opposition Box
2525
Passes
79% (389/492)75% (247/330)
Passes in the final third
57% (50/88)67% (78/116)
Crosses
9% (2/22)23% (5/22)
Tackles
55% (6/11)75% (15/20)
Clearances Total
3548
Interceptions
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Harbottle R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Harbottle R. , Sawyers R. ,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Kelly J. ,
  • 54', Tilley J. 🟨,
  • 56', Kelly J. 🟨,
  • 61', Hudlin K. , Jephcott L. ,
  • 77', Whitmore K. , Miley J. ,
  • 77', Spellman M. , Greaves O. ,
  • 78', 0 - 2, Sawyers R. , Kelly J. (A),
  • 80', Tilley J. , Furlong J. ,
  • 84', Stevens M. , Sasu A. ,
  • 90', McLoughlin S. , Jameson K. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, Greaves O. ,

Chances of winning


Newport County
23.7%
Draw
27.2%
AFC Wimbledon
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 23.7% 56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6% 25.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport County that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newport County - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.93
    (4.67)
    3.43
    (3.95)
    1.93
    (1.66)
    6.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Newport County - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 5 - 19.2%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5%86.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Newport won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Newport have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Newport won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:16 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Newport won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:8 (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    03.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Newport County 2:2
    16.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Newport County 0:2
    02.09.2023 Newport County - AFC Wimbledon 2:2
    14.03.2023 Newport County - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    26.12.2022 AFC Wimbledon - Newport County 1:1
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Newport County - AFC Wimbledon?
    It is being streamed on channel
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