Newcastle United vs AFC Wimbledon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Cup Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:0
01/10/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
80%20%
Goal Attempts
202
Shots on Goal
40
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
91
Corner Kicks
101
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
2117
Goalkeeper Saves
03
Fouls
107
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', Biler H. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Schar F. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Barnes H. , Guimaraes B. ,
  • 46', Dubravka M. , Ruddy J. ,
  • 52', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
  • 55', Longstaff S. 🟨,
  • 62', Biler H. , Neufville J. ,
  • 62', Pigott J. , Stevens M. ,
  • 62', Joelinton , Gordon A. ,
  • 62', Krafth E. , Hall L. ,
  • 89', Hippolyte M. , Smith A. ,
  • 89', Maycock C. , Kelly J. ,
  • 90', Tilley J. , Furlong J. ,
  • 90', Schar F. , Burn D. ,

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
86%
Draw
9.9%
AFC Wimbledon
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 18.2% 71.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 14% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+75.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-67.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AFC Wimbledon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-72.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+50.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.11
    (9.21)
    9.79
    (5.22)
    22.86
    (1.33)
    4.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle United - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.75%98.67%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing at St James' Park.
    • Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wimbledon in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Newcastle have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Newcastle is certain favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    3AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    4MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    5TranmereBurton
    6HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    7SunderlandBye
    8HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    9BarrowPreston0 : 1
    10WrexhamHull4 : 3
    11WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    12Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    13StokeWalsall1 : 0
    14BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    15BurnleyBye
    16West BromDerby1 : 2
    17EvertonBye
    18ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    19BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    20ByeLeeds
    21GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    22ByeManchester Utd
    23FulhamBye
    24Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    25WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    26NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    27Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    28ByeBrighton
    29PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    30GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    31CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    32CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    33NewportMillwall0 : 1
    34CoventryLuton1 : 0
    35WolvesBye
    36ByeWest Ham
    37BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    38SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    39SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    40PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    41BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    42Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    43Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    44CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale
    2AccringtonDoncaster
    3TBD #5Lincoln
    4SunderlandHuddersfield
    5PrestonWrexham
    6WiganStockport County
    7StokeBradford City
    8BurnleyDerby
    9EvertonMansfield
    10Sheffield WedLeeds
    11GrimsbyManchester Utd
    12FulhamBristol City
    13NorwichSouthampton
    14Oxford UtdBrighton
    15ReadingAFC Wimbledon
    16CardiffCheltenham
    17MillwallCoventry
    18WolvesWest Ham
    19BarnsleyRotherham
    20SwanseaPlymouth
    21BromleyWycombe
    22Cambridge UtdCharlton
    23BournemouthBrentford
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