Gillingham vs AFC Wimbledon: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon
Result
1:2 penalties
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.96
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
64% (206/320)70% (223/318)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.790.96
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.73
Total shots
1110
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
813
Passes
64% (206/320)70% (223/318)
Long passes
32% (23/72)28% (19/67)
Passes in final third
51% (73/144)54% (55/101)
Crosses
35% (8/23)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.46
Throw-ins
4233
Fouls
138
Tackles
58% (11/19)65% (17/26)
Duels won
6863
Clearances
2845
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.731.67
Goals prevented
-0.270.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', 0 - 1, Hackford A. , Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
  • 42', Sasu A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Ogie S. , McKenzie R. ,
  • 61', McCoy-Splatt D. , Smith A. ,
  • 62', Sasu A. , Seddon S. ,
  • 62', Hackford A. , Kelly J. ,
  • 66', Khumbeni N. , Andrews J. ,
  • 74', Gbode J. , Sargent S. ,
  • 74', Wyllie M. , Nevitt E. ,
  • 78', Bugiel O. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 80', Johnson R. 🟨,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Coleman E. , Clark M. (A),
  • 84', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Stevens M. ,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Clark M. (Pen),
  • 1, Stevens M. (Pen),
  • 2, Williams J. (Pen),
  • 2, Kelly J. (Pen),
  • 3, McKenzie R. (Pen),
  • 3, Hippolyte M. (Pen),
  • 4, Andrews J. (Pen),
  • 4, Smith A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
32.9%
Draw
30.2%
AFC Wimbledon
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 29.9% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.6% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.89
    (3.01)
    3.11
    (3.14)
    2.55
    (2.41)
    6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Recent performances by Gillingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wimbledon has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    30.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 1:0
    12.03.2024 AFC Wimbledon - Gillingham 2:0
    28.11.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    25.02.2023 Gillingham - AFC Wimbledon 2:1
    Latest results of Gillingham
    09.08.2025 Gillingham - Walsall 1:0
    26.07.2025 Dartford - Gillingham 0:2
    19.07.2025 Gillingham - Luton Town 0:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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