AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer English League Two AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town
Result
1:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.070.26
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
178
Shots on Goal
25
Shots off Goal
42
Blocked Shots
111
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Goalkeeper Saves
31
Free Kicks
912
Offsides
10
Fouls
129
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
4727
Touches in the Opposition Box
2715
Passes
68% (252/369)47% (97/207)
Passes in the final third
62% (92/148)41% (35/86)
Crosses
24% (6/25)30% (3/10)
Tackles
69% (11/16)67% (14/21)
Clearances Total
2449
Interceptions
317

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Hay A. , Archer E. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 1, Browne M. , Tilley J. (A),
  • 45+1', Power D. , Adedokun V. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 66', Thomas J. , Williams E. ,
  • 66', Miller G. , Taylor M. ,
  • 77', Stevens M. , Kelly J. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Taylor M. , Hay A. (A),
  • 84', Bugiel O. , Foyo O. ,
  • 84', Tilley J. , Sasu A. ,
  • 87', Smith A. , Maycock C. ,

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
54.8%
Draw
26.8%
Cheltenham Town
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 24.7% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 23.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.68)
    3.51
    (3.79)
    5.11
    (4.77)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: AFC Wimbledon will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3.
    • Wimbledon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Cheltenham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21:19 (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:12 (average 2.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Cheltenham Town - AFC Wimbledon 0:1
    04.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Cheltenham Town 5:1
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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