Partizan vs AEK Larnaca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Partizan - AEK Larnaca
Result
2:2 penalties
17/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
Partizan - AEK Larnaca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
123
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
123
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1414
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Milosevic J. 🟨,
  • 37', Roberge V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Rohden M. , Miramon ,
  • 61', Milosevic J. , Kostic A. ,
  • 62', Trifunovic N. , Kalulu A. ,
  • 62', Vukotic M. , Natcho B. ,
  • 63', Chacon Y. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Ugresic O. , Seck D. (A),
  • 75', Seck D. , Kostic B. ,
  • 77', Garcia A. , Gnali J. ,
  • 78', Rubio W. , Ivanovic D. ,
  • 83', Milovanovic M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ugresic O. , Karabelyov Y. ,
  • 90+5', Angielski K. (Pen),
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 96', Angielski K. , Loukaidis C. ,
  • 103', Ekpolo G. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 104', 1 - 1, Pons P. , Gnali J. (A),
  • 106', Jurcevic M. , Jovanovic D. ,
  • 118', 2 - 1, Jovanovic D. ,
  • 120', Kostic A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Natcho B. (Pen),
  • 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
  • 2, Milovanovic M. (Pen),
  • 2, Ledes Gustavo (Pen),
  • 3, Roganovic M. (Pen),
  • 3, Jimmy Suarez (Pen),
  • 4, Kalulu A. (Pen),
  • 4, Chacon Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Karabelyov Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Ivanovic D. (Pen),
  • 6, Kostic A. (Pen),
  • 6, Pons P. (Pen),
  • 7, Jovanovic D. (Pen),
  • 7, Miramon (Pen),
  • 8, Kostic B. (Pen),
  • 8, Gnali J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Partizan
27.2%
Draw
29.6%
AEK Larnaca
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 30.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizan's form might have worsened.
  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Larnaca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Partizan - AEK Larnaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.72)
    3.17
    (3.15)
    2.14
    (2.72)
    6.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Partizan - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 4 - 19%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Partizan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Partizan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Partizan has had a series of away games.
    • AEK Larnaca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Partizan - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    Latest results of Partizan
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    04.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Partizan 3:1
    01.07.2025 CSKA Moscow - Partizan 3:1
    25.05.2025 Partizan - Vojvodina 3:2
    17.05.2025 Mladost Lučani - Partizan 0:4
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    02.07.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    28.06.2025 AEK Larnaca - Seraing 3:3
    25.06.2025 Westerlo - AEK Larnaca 1:3
    24.05.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 1:0
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1D. Zagreb22006:246
    2Midtjylland22005:236
    3Aston Villa22003:036
    4Braga22003:036
    5Lyon22003:036
    6Lille22003:126
    7FC Porto22003:126
    8Plzen21104:134
    9Betis21104:224
    10Freiburg21103:214
    11Ferencvaros21102:114
    12Panathinaikos21015:323
    13Celta Vigo21014:313
    14Basel21013:213
    15AS Roma21012:203
    16G.A. Eagles21012:203
    17Brann21012:203
    18Genk21011:103
    19Young Boys21013:4-13
    20Fenerbahce21013:4-13
    21Ludogorets21012:3-13
    22Sturm Graz21012:3-13
    23Stuttgart21012:3-13
    24FCSB21011:2-13
    25Nottingham20114:5-11
    26Crvena zvezda20112:3-11
    27Bologna20111:2-11
    28PAOK20111:3-21
    29Celtic20111:3-21
    30Maccabi Tel Aviv20111:3-21
    31Nice20022:4-20
    32Rangers20021:3-20
    33Utrecht20020:2-20
    34Salzburg20020:3-30
    35Feyenoord20020:3-30
    36Malmo FF20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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    Which TV channels are streaming of Partizan - AEK Larnaca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
    worldWorldOnefootball
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