Partizan vs AEK Larnaca: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer UEFA Europa League Partizan - AEK Larnaca
Result
2:2 penalties
17/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Correia G. (Por)
Partizan - AEK Larnaca - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
123
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
42
Corner Kicks
123
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
2721
Fouls
1414
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Milosevic J. 🟨,
  • 37', Roberge V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Rohden M. , Miramon ,
  • 61', Milosevic J. , Kostic A. ,
  • 62', Trifunovic N. , Kalulu A. ,
  • 62', Vukotic M. , Natcho B. ,
  • 63', Chacon Y. 🟨,
  • 69', 1 - 0, Ugresic O. , Seck D. (A),
  • 75', Seck D. , Kostic B. ,
  • 77', Garcia A. , Gnali J. ,
  • 78', Rubio W. , Ivanovic D. ,
  • 83', Milovanovic M. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ugresic O. , Karabelyov Y. ,
  • 90+5', Angielski K. (Pen),
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 96', Angielski K. , Loukaidis C. ,
  • 103', Ekpolo G. , Jimmy Suarez ,
  • 104', 1 - 1, Pons P. , Gnali J. (A),
  • 106', Jurcevic M. , Jovanovic D. ,
  • 118', 2 - 1, Jovanovic D. ,
  • 120', Kostic A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (5 - 6)
  • 1, Natcho B. (Pen),
  • 1, Milicevic H. (Pen),
  • 2, Milovanovic M. (Pen),
  • 2, Ledes Gustavo (Pen),
  • 3, Roganovic M. (Pen),
  • 3, Jimmy Suarez (Pen),
  • 4, Kalulu A. (Pen),
  • 4, Chacon Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Karabelyov Y. (Pen),
  • 5, Ivanovic D. (Pen),
  • 6, Kostic A. (Pen),
  • 6, Pons P. (Pen),
  • 7, Jovanovic D. (Pen),
  • 7, Miramon (Pen),
  • 8, Kostic B. (Pen),
  • 8, Gnali J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Partizan
27.2%
Draw
29.6%
AEK Larnaca
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 30.2% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 30.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizan's form might have worsened.
  • AEK Larnaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Larnaca's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Larnaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Partizan - AEK Larnaca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.72)
    3.16
    (3.15)
    2.21
    (2.72)
    6.4%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Partizan - AEK Larnaca?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 4 - 19%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AEK Larnaca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, Partizan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • AEK Larnaca is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Partizan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Partizan has had a series of away games.
    • AEK Larnaca will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Partizan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Partizan - AEK Larnaca were as follows:
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    Latest results of Partizan
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    04.07.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Partizan 3:1
    01.07.2025 CSKA Moscow - Partizan 3:1
    25.05.2025 Partizan - Vojvodina 3:2
    17.05.2025 Mladost Lučani - Partizan 0:4
    Latest results of AEK Larnaca
    10.07.2025 AEK Larnaca - Partizan 1:0
    02.07.2025 Anderlecht - AEK Larnaca 2:2
    28.06.2025 AEK Larnaca - Seraing 3:3
    25.06.2025 Westerlo - AEK Larnaca 1:3
    24.05.2025 AEK Larnaca - Paphos 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    3MidtjyllandBye
    4ByeHibernian
    5PAOKBye
    8ByeWolfsberger AC
    9Sabah BakuCelje3 : 3, 2 : 3
    10AEK LarnacaPartizan2 : 2, 1 : 0
    11OstravaBye
    12LegiaAktobe1 : 0, 1 : 0
    13LuganoBye
    14PaksCFR Cluj0 : 3, 0 : 0
    15Levski SofiaH. Beer Sheva2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16ByeBraga
    17ServetteBye
    19Sheriff TiraspolPrishtina1 : 2, 4 : 0
    20ByeUtrecht
    21AnderlechtBye
    22TrnavaHacken2 : 2, 0 : 1
    24ByeBrann
    25PanathinaikosBye
    27BesiktasBye
    28Shakhtar DonetskIlves0 : 0, 6 : 0
    29Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    32ByeNoah
    33RijekaBye
    36ByeShelbourne
    37RFSBye
    40ByeKuPS
    41HamrunBye
    44ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    45ZrinjskiBye
    48ByeBreidablik
    49FCSBBye
    52ByeDrita

    Quarter-finals
    1FredrikstadBye
    2MidtjyllandHibernian2 : 1, 1 : 1
    3PAOKBye
    4ByeWolfsberger AC
    5CeljeAEK Larnaca1 : 2, 1 : 1
    6OstravaLegia1 : 2, 2 : 2
    7LuganoCFR Cluj0 : 1, 0 : 0
    8Levski SofiaBraga0 : 1, 0 : 0
    9ServetteBye
    10Sheriff TiraspolUtrecht1 : 4, 1 : 3
    11AnderlechtHacken1 : 3, 1 : 0
    12ByeBrann
    13PanathinaikosBye
    14BesiktasShakhtar Donetsk0 : 2, 2 : 4
    15Lincoln Red ImpsBye
    16ByeNoah
    17RijekaBye
    18ByeShelbourne
    19RFSBye
    20ByeKuPS
    21HamrunBye
    22ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    23ZrinjskiBye
    24ByeBreidablik
    25FCSBBye
    26ByeDrita

    Semi-finals
    1FredrikstadMidtjylland
    2PAOKWolfsberger AC
    3AEK LarnacaLegia
    4CFR ClujBraga
    5ServetteUtrecht
    6HackenBrann
    7PanathinaikosShakhtar Donetsk
    8Lincoln Red ImpsNoah
    9RijekaShelbourne
    10RFSKuPS
    11HamrunMaccabi Tel Aviv
    12ZrinjskiBreidablik
    13FCSBDrita
    Which TV channels are streaming of Partizan - AEK Larnaca?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
    worldWorldOnefootball
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